AMC Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.74

AMC -  USA Stock  

USD 40.74  0.67  1.67%

AMC Entertainment's future price is the expected price of AMC Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMC Entertainment Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 0.21, whereas Price to Book Value is projected to grow to (0.10) .

AMC Entertainment Price Probability 

 
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AMC Entertainment's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on AMC Entertainment Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of AMC Entertainment based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in AMC Entertainment Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2021-10-22 CALL at $41.0 is a CALL option contract on AMC Entertainment's common stock with a strick price of 41.0 expiring on 2021-10-22. The contract was last traded on 2021-10-15 at 15:59:58 for $1.73 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.6, and an ask price of $1.78. The implied volatility as of the 17th of October 2021 is 82.283. View All AMC Entertainment options

Closest to current price AMC Entertainment long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance. Please specify AMC Entertainment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AMC Entertainment odds to be computed.
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AMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 40.74

The tendency of AMC Entertainment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.74 90 days 40.74  about 37.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.62 (This AMC Entertainment Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AMC Entertainment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.62 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AMC Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3436, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 AMC Entertainment Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for AMC Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AMC Entertainment in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.7441.9648.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
18.3924.6144.81
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.008.1716.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.92-2.75-2.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMC Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMC Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMC Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AMC Entertainment.

AMC Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC Entertainment Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.34
β
Beta against DOW2.62
σ
Overall volatility
4.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

AMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMC Entertainment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 11.05 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 449.2 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.98 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (885.4 M).
AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 813.1 M in cash with (1.26 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.81.
AMC Entertainment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.equities.com: AMC Entertainment gains 1.67 percent for October 15 - Equities.com

AMC Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMC Entertainment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out22.72%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.03
Short Percent Of Float22.85%
Float Shares448.56M
Shares Short Prior Month87.55M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day34.69M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month80.68M
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.08%

AMC Entertainment Technical Analysis

AMC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMC Entertainment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC Entertainment Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMC Entertainment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AMC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

AMC Entertainment time-series forecasting models is one of many AMC Entertainment's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AMC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMC Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

AMC Entertainment Alerts

AMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

AMC Entertainment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 11.05 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 449.2 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.98 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (885.4 M).
AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 813.1 M in cash with (1.26 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.81.
AMC Entertainment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.equities.com: AMC Entertainment gains 1.67 percent for October 15 - Equities.com
Please continue to AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance. Note that the AMC Entertainment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AMC Entertainment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for AMC Entertainment Stock analysis

When running AMC Entertainment price analysis, check to measure AMC Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of AMC Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMC Entertainment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMC Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMC Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMC Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMC Entertainment underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMC Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AMC Entertainment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.