Ametek Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 163.56

AME Stock  USD 183.72  2.05  1.13%   
Ametek's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ametek Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ametek based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ametek Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $185.0 is a CALL option contract on Ametek's common stock with a strick price of 185.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:50:58 for $2.4 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.1, and an ask price of $2.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 15.32. View All Ametek options

Closest to current price Ametek long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Ametek's future price is the expected price of Ametek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ametek Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ametek Backtesting, Ametek Valuation, Ametek Correlation, Ametek Hype Analysis, Ametek Volatility, Ametek History as well as Ametek Performance.
  
At present, Ametek's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 2.16, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 11.54. Please specify Ametek's target price for which you would like Ametek odds to be computed.

Ametek Target Price Odds to finish over 163.56

The tendency of Ametek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 163.56  in 90 days
 183.72 90 days 163.56 
about 81.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ametek to stay above $ 163.56  in 90 days from now is about 81.75 (This Ametek Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ametek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ametek Inc price to stay between $ 163.56  and its current price of $183.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ametek has a beta of 0.97. This suggests Ametek Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ametek is expected to follow. Additionally Ametek Inc has an alpha of 0.0504, implying that it can generate a 0.0504 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ametek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ametek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ametek Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ametek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
183.00183.93184.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
151.02151.95202.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
183.29184.23185.16
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
157.85173.46192.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ametek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ametek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ametek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ametek Inc.

Ametek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ametek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ametek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ametek Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ametek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.97
σ
Overall volatility
8.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Ametek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ametek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ametek Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Biomaterials Market is Expected to Reach 64.2 billion MarketsandMarkets

Ametek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ametek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ametek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ametek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding231.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments409.8 M

Ametek Technical Analysis

Ametek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ametek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ametek Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ametek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ametek Predictive Forecast Models

Ametek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ametek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ametek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ametek Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ametek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ametek Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Biomaterials Market is Expected to Reach 64.2 billion MarketsandMarkets
When determining whether Ametek Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ametek's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ametek's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ametek Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Ametek Stock analysis

When running Ametek's price analysis, check to measure Ametek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ametek is operating at the current time. Most of Ametek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ametek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ametek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ametek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ametek's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ametek. If investors know Ametek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ametek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.113
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
5.68
Revenue Per Share
28.618
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
The market value of Ametek Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ametek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ametek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ametek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ametek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ametek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ametek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ametek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ametek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.