Astrana Health Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.21

AMEHDelisted Stock  USD 34.07  0.34  0.99%   
Astrana Health's future price is the expected price of Astrana Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Astrana Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
Please specify Astrana Health's target price for which you would like Astrana Health odds to be computed.

Astrana Health Target Price Odds to finish below 33.21

The tendency of Astrana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 33.21  or more in 90 days
 34.07 90 days 33.21 
about 50.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astrana Health to drop to $ 33.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.92 (This Astrana Health probability density function shows the probability of Astrana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astrana Health price to stay between $ 33.21  and its current price of $34.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Astrana Health has a beta of -0.7. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Astrana Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Astrana Health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Astrana Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Astrana Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Astrana Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astrana Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astrana Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.0734.0734.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4328.4337.48
Details

Astrana Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astrana Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astrana Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astrana Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astrana Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.7
σ
Overall volatility
2.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Astrana Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astrana Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astrana Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astrana Health is now traded under the symbol ASTH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Astrana Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Astrana Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Astrana Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astrana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astrana Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astrana Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments293.6 M

Astrana Health Technical Analysis

Astrana Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astrana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astrana Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astrana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Astrana Health Predictive Forecast Models

Astrana Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Astrana Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astrana Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Astrana Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Astrana Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astrana Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astrana Health is now traded under the symbol ASTH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Astrana Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Astrana Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Other Consideration for investing in Astrana Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Astrana Health check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Astrana Health's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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