Amprius Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| AMPX Stock | USD 1.73 0.04 2.37% |
Amprius |
Amprius Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Amprius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 1.73 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amprius Technologies to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amprius Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Amprius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amprius Technologies price to stay between $ 0.06 and its current price of $1.73 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amprius Technologies has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amprius Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amprius Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amprius Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Amprius Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amprius Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amprius Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amprius Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amprius Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amprius Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amprius Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amprius Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amprius Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Amprius Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amprius Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amprius Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amprius Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amprius Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Amprius Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amprius Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.44 M). | |
| Amprius Technologies currently holds about 5.24 M in cash with (25.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1007867 shares by Jonathan Bornstein of Amprius Technologies at 0.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Amprius Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amprius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amprius Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amprius Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.8 M |
Amprius Technologies Technical Analysis
Amprius Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amprius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amprius Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amprius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amprius Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Amprius Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amprius Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amprius Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amprius Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amprius Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amprius Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amprius Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amprius Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Amprius Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amprius Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.44 M). | |
| Amprius Technologies currently holds about 5.24 M in cash with (25.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1007867 shares by Jonathan Bornstein of Amprius Technologies at 0.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Amprius Technologies Backtesting, Amprius Technologies Valuation, Amprius Technologies Correlation, Amprius Technologies Hype Analysis, Amprius Technologies Volatility, Amprius Technologies History as well as Amprius Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy Amprius Stock please use our How to Invest in Amprius Technologies guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Amprius Stock analysis
When running Amprius Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Amprius Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amprius Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Amprius Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amprius Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amprius Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amprius Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amprius Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amprius Technologies. If investors know Amprius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amprius Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.43) | Revenue Per Share 0.105 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.98 | Return On Assets (0.25) | Return On Equity (0.55) |
The market value of Amprius Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amprius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amprius Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amprius Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amprius Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amprius Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amprius Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amprius Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amprius Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.