Ameresco Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 79.22
| AMRC Stock | USD 18.61 0.83 4.27% |
Closest to current price Ameresco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Ameresco |
Ameresco Target Price Odds to finish over 79.22
The tendency of Ameresco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 79.22 or more in 90 days |
| 18.61 | 90 days | 79.22 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ameresco to move over $ 79.22 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ameresco probability density function shows the probability of Ameresco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ameresco price to stay between its current price of $ 18.61 and $ 79.22 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.06 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ameresco will likely underperform. Additionally Ameresco has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ameresco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ameresco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ameresco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ameresco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ameresco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ameresco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ameresco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ameresco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ameresco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 4.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Ameresco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ameresco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ameresco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ameresco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ameresco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ameresco currently holds about 67.55 M in cash with (69.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.3. | |
| Ameresco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Ameresco to Announce First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 7, 2024 |
Ameresco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ameresco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ameresco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ameresco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.6 M |
Ameresco Technical Analysis
Ameresco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ameresco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ameresco. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ameresco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ameresco Predictive Forecast Models
Ameresco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ameresco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ameresco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ameresco
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ameresco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ameresco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ameresco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ameresco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ameresco currently holds about 67.55 M in cash with (69.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.3. | |
| Ameresco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Ameresco to Announce First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 7, 2024 |
Check out Ameresco Backtesting, Ameresco Valuation, Ameresco Correlation, Ameresco Hype Analysis, Ameresco Volatility, Ameresco History as well as Ameresco Performance. For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Ameresco Stock analysis
When running Ameresco's price analysis, check to measure Ameresco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameresco is operating at the current time. Most of Ameresco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameresco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameresco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameresco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals |
Is Ameresco's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ameresco. If investors know Ameresco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ameresco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.856 | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share 26.364 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.331 | Return On Assets 0.0161 |
The market value of Ameresco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ameresco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ameresco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ameresco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ameresco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ameresco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ameresco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ameresco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ameresco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.