Arena Bilgisayar (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.38
| ARENA Stock | TRY 41.56 0.12 0.29% |
Arena |
Arena Bilgisayar Target Price Odds to finish below 33.38
The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 33.38 or more in 90 days |
| 41.56 | 90 days | 33.38 | about 1.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Bilgisayar to drop to 33.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.1 (This Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi price to stay between 33.38 and its current price of 41.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi has a beta of -0.92. This suggests Additionally Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Arena Bilgisayar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arena Bilgisayar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arena Bilgisayar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arena Bilgisayar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Bilgisayar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Bilgisayar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Bilgisayar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Arena Bilgisayar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Bilgisayar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arena Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arena Bilgisayar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arena Bilgisayar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arena Bilgisayar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arena Bilgisayar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M |
Arena Bilgisayar Technical Analysis
Arena Bilgisayar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arena Bilgisayar Predictive Forecast Models
Arena Bilgisayar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arena Bilgisayar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arena Bilgisayar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Bilgisayar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arena Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arena Bilgisayar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Arena Stock
Arena Bilgisayar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arena Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arena with respect to the benefits of owning Arena Bilgisayar security.