ASLAX Mutual Fund Chance of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.31

ASLAX -  USA Fund  

USD 15.59  0.12  0.78%

Ab Cap's future price is the expected price of Ab Cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ab Cap Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

ASLAX Price Probability 

 
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Please continue to Ab Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ab Cap Correlation, Ab Cap Hype Analysis, Ab Cap Volatility, Ab Cap History as well as Ab Cap Performance. Please specify Ab Cap time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ab Cap odds to be computed.
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Ab Cap Target Price Odds to finish over 15.31

The tendency of ASLAX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 15.31  in 90 days
 15.59 90 days 15.31  about 60.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Cap to stay above $ 15.31  in 90 days from now is about 60.87 (This Ab Cap Fund probability density function shows the probability of ASLAX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ab Cap Fund price to stay between $ 15.31  and its current price of $15.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Cap has a beta of 0.6. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ab Cap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ab Cap Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0311, implying that it can generate a 0.0311 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ab Cap Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Ab Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Cap Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ab Cap in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.0615.5916.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.0015.5316.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.9515.4816.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4215.6815.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ab Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ab Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ab Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ab Cap Fund.

Ab Cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Cap Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.031059
β
Beta against DOW0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Ab Cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Cap Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ab Cap Fund is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 26.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Ab Cap Technical Analysis

Ab Cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASLAX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Cap Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASLAX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ab Cap Predictive Forecast Models

Ab Cap time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Cap's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ab Cap's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ab Cap Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Cap Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Ab Cap Alerts

Ab Cap Alerts and Suggestions

Ab Cap Fund is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 26.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please continue to Ab Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ab Cap Correlation, Ab Cap Hype Analysis, Ab Cap Volatility, Ab Cap History as well as Ab Cap Performance. Note that the Ab Cap Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ab Cap's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running Ab Cap Fund price analysis, check to measure Ab Cap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ab Cap is operating at the current time. Most of Ab Cap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ab Cap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ab Cap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ab Cap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ab Cap value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.