Avino Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.59

ASM -  USA Stock  

USD 0.59  0.02  3.51%

Avino Silver's future price is the expected price of Avino Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Avino Silver Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to hike to 10.61 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to 1.34.
  
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Please continue to Avino Silver Backtesting, Avino Silver Valuation, Avino Silver Correlation, Avino Silver Hype Analysis, Avino Silver Volatility, Avino Silver History as well as Avino Silver Performance. Please specify Avino Silver time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Avino Silver odds to be computed.
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Avino Silver Target Price Odds to finish over 0.59

The tendency of Avino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.59 90 days 0.59  about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avino Silver to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Avino Silver Gold probability density function shows the probability of Avino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Avino Silver has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avino Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avino Silver Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Avino Silver Gold is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Avino Silver Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Avino Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avino Silver Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avino Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Avino Silver in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.030.583.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.040.864.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0110020.553.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.251.682.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Avino Silver. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Avino Silver's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Avino Silver's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Avino Silver Gold.

Avino Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avino Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avino Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avino Silver Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avino Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Avino Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avino Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avino Silver Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avino Silver Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avino Silver Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Avino Silver Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Avino Silver Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Avino Silver Gold was previously known as AVINO SILVER GOLD and was traded on NYSEMKT Exchange under the symbol ASGMF.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.06 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.37 M.
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Avino Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avino Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avino Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.56%
Short Percent Of Float0.59%
Float Shares85.96M
Shares Short Prior Month767.62k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day328.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month410.42k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Avino Silver Technical Analysis

Avino Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avino Silver Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Avino Silver Predictive Forecast Models

Avino Silver time-series forecasting models is one of many Avino Silver's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Avino Silver's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Avino Silver Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Avino Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avino Silver Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Avino Silver Alerts

Avino Silver Alerts and Suggestions

Avino Silver Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avino Silver Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Avino Silver Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Avino Silver Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Avino Silver Gold was previously known as AVINO SILVER GOLD and was traded on NYSEMKT Exchange under the symbol ASGMF.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.06 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.37 M.
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please continue to Avino Silver Backtesting, Avino Silver Valuation, Avino Silver Correlation, Avino Silver Hype Analysis, Avino Silver Volatility, Avino Silver History as well as Avino Silver Performance. Note that the Avino Silver Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Avino Silver's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Avino Stock analysis

When running Avino Silver Gold price analysis, check to measure Avino Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avino Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Avino Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avino Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avino Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avino Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Avino Silver's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avino Silver. If investors know Avino will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avino Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
66.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
380.03
Return On Assets
0.0247
Return On Equity
0.0048
The market value of Avino Silver Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avino that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avino Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avino Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avino Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avino Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avino Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Avino Silver value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avino Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.