ASMVF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 12.00

ASMVF -  USA Stock  

USD 12.00  0.85  6.61%

Asm Pacific's future price is the expected price of Asm Pacific instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asm Pacific Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please continue to Asm Pacific Backtesting, Asm Pacific Valuation, Asm Pacific Correlation, Asm Pacific Hype Analysis, Asm Pacific Volatility, Asm Pacific History as well as Asm Pacific Performance. Please specify Asm Pacific time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Asm Pacific odds to be computed.
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Asm Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 12.00

The tendency of ASMVF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.00 90 days 12.00  about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asm Pacific to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Asm Pacific Technology probability density function shows the probability of ASMVF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Asm Pacific has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asm Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asm Pacific Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Asm Pacific Technology is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Asm Pacific Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Asm Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asm Pacific Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asm Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Asm Pacific in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.1811.8713.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.7812.4714.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.4111.1012.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9212.7113.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asm Pacific. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asm Pacific's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asm Pacific's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Asm Pacific Technology.

Asm Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asm Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asm Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asm Pacific Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asm Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Asm Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asm Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asm Pacific Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asm Pacific generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 28of this ASM Pacific Technology Limited insiders holdings were sold in the last year - Simply Wall St

Asm Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASMVF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asm Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asm Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.70
Float Shares307.53M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day142
Average Daily Volume In Three Month41
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield22.50%

Asm Pacific Technical Analysis

Asm Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASMVF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asm Pacific Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASMVF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asm Pacific Predictive Forecast Models

Asm Pacific time-series forecasting models is one of many Asm Pacific's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Asm Pacific's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asm Pacific Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asm Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asm Pacific Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Asm Pacific Alerts

Asm Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

Asm Pacific generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 28of this ASM Pacific Technology Limited insiders holdings were sold in the last year - Simply Wall St
Please continue to Asm Pacific Backtesting, Asm Pacific Valuation, Asm Pacific Correlation, Asm Pacific Hype Analysis, Asm Pacific Volatility, Asm Pacific History as well as Asm Pacific Performance. Note that the Asm Pacific Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Asm Pacific's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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The market value of Asm Pacific Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASMVF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asm Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asm Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asm Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asm Pacific Technology underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asm Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Asm Pacific value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asm Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.