Asm Pacific Technology Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.78
| ASMVF Stock | USD 12.50 0.00 0.00% |
ASM |
ASM Pacific Target Price Odds to finish below 10.78
The tendency of ASM Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.78 or more in 90 days |
| 12.50 | 90 days | 10.78 | about 39.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASM Pacific to drop to $ 10.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.21 (This ASM Pacific Technology probability density function shows the probability of ASM Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASM Pacific Technology price to stay between $ 10.78 and its current price of $12.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ASM Pacific has a beta of 0.0248. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ASM Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ASM Pacific Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ASM Pacific Technology has an alpha of 0.3456, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ASM Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ASM Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASM Pacific Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ASM Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ASM Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASM Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASM Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASM Pacific Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASM Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
ASM Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASM Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASM Pacific Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ASM Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASM Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASM Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASM Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 412.7 M |
ASM Pacific Technical Analysis
ASM Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASM Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASM Pacific Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASM Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ASM Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
ASM Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASM Pacific's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASM Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ASM Pacific Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about ASM Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASM Pacific Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out ASM Pacific Backtesting, ASM Pacific Valuation, ASM Pacific Correlation, ASM Pacific Hype Analysis, ASM Pacific Volatility, ASM Pacific History as well as ASM Pacific Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for ASM Pink Sheet analysis
When running ASM Pacific's price analysis, check to measure ASM Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASM Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of ASM Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASM Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASM Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASM Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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