ASMVY OTC Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 35.49

ASMVY -  USA Stock  

USD 35.49  1.39  4.08%

ASM PAC's future price is the expected price of ASM PAC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please continue to ASM PAC Backtesting, ASM PAC Valuation, ASM PAC Correlation, ASM PAC Hype Analysis, ASM PAC Volatility, ASM PAC History as well as ASM PAC Performance. Please specify ASM PAC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ASM PAC odds to be computed.
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ASM PAC Target Price Odds to finish over 35.49

The tendency of ASMVY OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.49 90 days 35.49  about 85.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASM PAC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.16 (This ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY probability density function shows the probability of ASMVY OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ASM PAC has a beta of 0.98. This suggests ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ASM PAC is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY is significantly underperforming DOW.
 ASM PAC Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for ASM PAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ASM PAC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ASM PAC in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
32.5735.4938.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
28.7831.7039.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ASM PAC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ASM PAC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ASM PAC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY.

ASM PAC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASM PAC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASM PAC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASM PAC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.17
β
Beta against DOW0.98
σ
Overall volatility
2.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

ASM PAC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASM PAC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 11th of August 2021 ASM PAC paid $ 0.5012 per share dividend to its current shareholders

ASM PAC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASMVY OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASM PAC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASM PAC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.70
Float Shares102.43M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.22k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.23k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.59%

ASM PAC Technical Analysis

ASM PAC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASMVY OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASMVY OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASM PAC Predictive Forecast Models

ASM PAC time-series forecasting models is one of many ASM PAC's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ASM PAC's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASM PAC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

ASM PAC Alerts

ASM PAC Alerts and Suggestions

ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 11th of August 2021 ASM PAC paid $ 0.5012 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Please continue to ASM PAC Backtesting, ASM PAC Valuation, ASM PAC Correlation, ASM PAC Hype Analysis, ASM PAC Volatility, ASM PAC History as well as ASM PAC Performance. Note that the ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ASM PAC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY price analysis, check to measure ASM PAC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASM PAC is operating at the current time. Most of ASM PAC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASM PAC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASM PAC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASM PAC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASMVY that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASM PAC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASM PAC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASM PAC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASM PAC TECHNOLOGY underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASM PAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ASM PAC value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASM PAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.