Astec Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.46
| ASTE Stock | USD 41.88 0.15 0.36% |
Closest to current price Astec long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Astec |
Astec Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 53.46
The tendency of Astec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 53.46 after 90 days |
| 41.88 | 90 days | 53.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astec Industries to stay under $ 53.46 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Astec Industries probability density function shows the probability of Astec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astec Industries price to stay between its current price of $ 41.88 and $ 53.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.86 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Astec Industries will likely underperform. Additionally Astec Industries has an alpha of 0.234, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Astec Industries Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Astec Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astec Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astec Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Astec Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astec Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astec Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astec Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astec Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Astec Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astec Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astec Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: SHAREHOLDER ACTION ALERT The Schall Law Firm Encourages Investors in Astec Industries, Inc. with Losses to Contact the Firm |
Astec Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astec Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astec Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.5 M |
Astec Industries Technical Analysis
Astec Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astec Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astec Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Astec Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Astec Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astec Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astec Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astec Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astec Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: SHAREHOLDER ACTION ALERT The Schall Law Firm Encourages Investors in Astec Industries, Inc. with Losses to Contact the Firm |
Check out Astec Industries Backtesting, Astec Industries Valuation, Astec Industries Correlation, Astec Industries Hype Analysis, Astec Industries Volatility, Astec Industries History as well as Astec Industries Performance. For information on how to trade Astec Stock refer to our How to Trade Astec Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Astec Stock analysis
When running Astec Industries' price analysis, check to measure Astec Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astec Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Astec Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astec Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astec Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astec Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Astec Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astec Industries. If investors know Astec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astec Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.945 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 1.47 | Revenue Per Share 58.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Astec Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astec Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astec Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astec Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astec Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astec Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astec Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astec Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.