Ast Spacemobile Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.16
| ASTS Stock | USD 2.16 0.07 3.35% |
Closest to current price Ast long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Ast |
Ast Spacemobile Target Price Odds to finish over 2.16
The tendency of Ast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.16 | 90 days | 2.16 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ast Spacemobile to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Ast Spacemobile probability density function shows the probability of Ast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ast Spacemobile will likely underperform. Additionally Ast Spacemobile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ast Spacemobile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ast Spacemobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ast Spacemobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ast Spacemobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ast Spacemobile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ast Spacemobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ast Spacemobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ast Spacemobile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ast Spacemobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Ast Spacemobile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ast Spacemobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ast Spacemobile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ast Spacemobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ast Spacemobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (87.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 M. | |
| Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (148.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Ast Spacemobile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Glancy Prongay Murray LLP Reminds Investors of Looming Deadline in the Class Action Lawsuit Against AST SpaceMobile, Inc. |
Ast Spacemobile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ast Spacemobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ast Spacemobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.1 M |
Ast Spacemobile Technical Analysis
Ast Spacemobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ast Spacemobile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ast Spacemobile Predictive Forecast Models
Ast Spacemobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ast Spacemobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ast Spacemobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ast Spacemobile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ast Spacemobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ast Spacemobile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ast Spacemobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ast Spacemobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (87.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 M. | |
| Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (148.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Ast Spacemobile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Glancy Prongay Murray LLP Reminds Investors of Looming Deadline in the Class Action Lawsuit Against AST SpaceMobile, Inc. |
Check out Ast Spacemobile Backtesting, Ast Spacemobile Valuation, Ast Spacemobile Correlation, Ast Spacemobile Hype Analysis, Ast Spacemobile Volatility, Ast Spacemobile History as well as Ast Spacemobile Performance. For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ast Spacemobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ast Spacemobile. If investors know Ast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ast Spacemobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.35) | Return On Equity (0.78) |
The market value of Ast Spacemobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ast Spacemobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ast Spacemobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ast Spacemobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ast Spacemobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ast Spacemobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ast Spacemobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ast Spacemobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.