Ave Maria Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.54
| AVEFX Fund | USD 11.78 0.04 0.34% |
Ave |
Ave Maria Target Price Odds to finish over 11.54
The tendency of Ave Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.54 in 90 days |
| 11.78 | 90 days | 11.54 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ave Maria to stay above $ 11.54 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Ave Maria Bond probability density function shows the probability of Ave Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ave Maria Bond price to stay between $ 11.54 and its current price of $11.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ave Maria has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ave Maria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ave Maria Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ave Maria Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ave Maria Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ave Maria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ave Maria Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ave Maria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ave Maria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ave Maria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ave Maria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ave Maria Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ave Maria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Ave Maria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ave Maria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ave Maria Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 9.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Ave Maria Technical Analysis
Ave Maria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ave Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ave Maria Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ave Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ave Maria Predictive Forecast Models
Ave Maria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ave Maria's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ave Maria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ave Maria Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ave Maria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ave Maria Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 9.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Ave Maria Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ave Maria Correlation, Ave Maria Hype Analysis, Ave Maria Volatility, Ave Maria History as well as Ave Maria Performance. Note that the Ave Maria Bond information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ave Maria's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.