Ayalon Holdings (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2736.0
| AYAL Stock | ILA 1,762 25.00 1.40% |
Ayalon |
Ayalon Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 2736.0
The tendency of Ayalon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,736 after 90 days |
| 1,762 | 90 days | 2,736 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ayalon Holdings to stay under 2,736 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ayalon Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ayalon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ayalon Holdings price to stay between its current price of 1,762 and 2,736 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ayalon Holdings has a beta of -0.0526. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ayalon Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ayalon Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ayalon Holdings has an alpha of 0.0938, implying that it can generate a 0.0938 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ayalon Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ayalon Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ayalon Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ayalon Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ayalon Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ayalon Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ayalon Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ayalon Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ayalon Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 123.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Ayalon Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ayalon Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ayalon Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ayalon Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (114.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.72 M. | |
| Ayalon Holdings has accumulated about 2.96 B in cash with (306.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 162.88. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ayalon Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ayalon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ayalon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ayalon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M |
Ayalon Holdings Technical Analysis
Ayalon Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ayalon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ayalon Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ayalon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ayalon Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Ayalon Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ayalon Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ayalon Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ayalon Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ayalon Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ayalon Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ayalon Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (114.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.72 M. | |
| Ayalon Holdings has accumulated about 2.96 B in cash with (306.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 162.88. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Ayalon Holdings Backtesting, Ayalon Holdings Valuation, Ayalon Holdings Correlation, Ayalon Holdings Hype Analysis, Ayalon Holdings Volatility, Ayalon Holdings History as well as Ayalon Holdings Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Ayalon Stock analysis
When running Ayalon Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Ayalon Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ayalon Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Ayalon Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ayalon Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ayalon Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ayalon Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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