Bbva Banco Frances Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.11

BBAR Stock  USD 8.48  0.02  0.24%   
BBVA Banco's future price is the expected price of BBVA Banco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BBVA Banco Frances performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BBVA Banco Backtesting, BBVA Banco Valuation, BBVA Banco Correlation, BBVA Banco Hype Analysis, BBVA Banco Volatility, BBVA Banco History as well as BBVA Banco Performance.
  
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BBVA Banco Target Price Odds to finish over 3.11

The tendency of BBVA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.11  in 90 days
 8.48 90 days 3.11 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVA Banco to stay above $ 3.11  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BBVA Banco Frances probability density function shows the probability of BBVA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVA Banco Frances price to stay between $ 3.11  and its current price of $8.48 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BBVA Banco will likely underperform. Additionally BBVA Banco Frances has an alpha of 0.4969, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BBVA Banco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BBVA Banco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Banco Frances. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BBVA Banco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.728.4812.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.767.5211.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.197.9511.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.677.419.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BBVA Banco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BBVA Banco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BBVA Banco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BBVA Banco Frances.

BBVA Banco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVA Banco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVA Banco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVA Banco Frances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVA Banco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.50
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

BBVA Banco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVA Banco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVA Banco Frances can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
On 18th of March 2024 BBVA Banco paid $ 0.0562 per share dividend to its current shareholders

BBVA Banco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBVA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBVA Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding204.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments913.5 B

BBVA Banco Technical Analysis

BBVA Banco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVA Banco Frances. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BBVA Banco Predictive Forecast Models

BBVA Banco's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVA Banco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVA Banco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BBVA Banco Frances

Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVA Banco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVA Banco Frances help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
On 18th of March 2024 BBVA Banco paid $ 0.0562 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether BBVA Banco Frances is a strong investment it is important to analyze BBVA Banco's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BBVA Banco's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BBVA Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out BBVA Banco Backtesting, BBVA Banco Valuation, BBVA Banco Correlation, BBVA Banco Hype Analysis, BBVA Banco Volatility, BBVA Banco History as well as BBVA Banco Performance.
Note that the BBVA Banco Frances information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BBVA Banco's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for BBVA Stock analysis

When running BBVA Banco's price analysis, check to measure BBVA Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBVA Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BBVA Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBVA Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBVA Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBVA Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BBVA Banco's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BBVA Banco. If investors know BBVA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BBVA Banco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BBVA Banco Frances is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BBVA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BBVA Banco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BBVA Banco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BBVA Banco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BBVA Banco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BBVA Banco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BBVA Banco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BBVA Banco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.