Banco Bradesco Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.91

BBD Stock  USD 2.91  0.05  1.75%   
Banco Bradesco's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Banco Bradesco SA. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Banco Bradesco based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Banco Bradesco SA over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on Banco Bradesco's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-21 at 15:09:50 for $0.34 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $0.65. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 62.21. View All Banco options

Closest to current price Banco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Banco Bradesco's future price is the expected price of Banco Bradesco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco Bradesco SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco Bradesco Backtesting, Banco Bradesco Valuation, Banco Bradesco Correlation, Banco Bradesco Hype Analysis, Banco Bradesco Volatility, Banco Bradesco History as well as Banco Bradesco Performance.
  
At present, Banco Bradesco's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 1.36, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.03. Please specify Banco Bradesco's target price for which you would like Banco Bradesco odds to be computed.

Banco Bradesco Target Price Odds to finish over 2.91

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.91 90 days 2.91 
about 66.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Bradesco to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.39 (This Banco Bradesco SA probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Banco Bradesco has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banco Bradesco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banco Bradesco SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banco Bradesco SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Banco Bradesco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco Bradesco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bradesco SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bradesco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.272.885.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.823.436.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.212.815.42
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.523.874.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Bradesco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Bradesco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Bradesco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Bradesco SA.

Banco Bradesco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Bradesco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Bradesco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Bradesco SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Bradesco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Banco Bradesco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Bradesco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Bradesco SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Bradesco SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco Bradesco SA has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 8th of March 2024 Banco Bradesco paid $ 0.0039 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Attention Banco Santander, S.A. Inc. Investors Company Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm

Banco Bradesco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Bradesco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bradesco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments-147.6 B

Banco Bradesco Technical Analysis

Banco Bradesco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Bradesco SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco Bradesco Predictive Forecast Models

Banco Bradesco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Bradesco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Bradesco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco Bradesco SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Bradesco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Bradesco SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Bradesco SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco Bradesco SA has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 8th of March 2024 Banco Bradesco paid $ 0.0039 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Attention Banco Santander, S.A. Inc. Investors Company Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm
When determining whether Banco Bradesco SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Bradesco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Bradesco Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Bradesco Sa Stock:
Check out Banco Bradesco Backtesting, Banco Bradesco Valuation, Banco Bradesco Correlation, Banco Bradesco Hype Analysis, Banco Bradesco Volatility, Banco Bradesco History as well as Banco Bradesco Performance.
Note that the Banco Bradesco SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Banco Bradesco's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Banco Stock analysis

When running Banco Bradesco's price analysis, check to measure Banco Bradesco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Bradesco is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Bradesco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Bradesco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Bradesco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Bradesco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Is Banco Bradesco's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bradesco. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Bradesco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.512
Earnings Share
0.25
Revenue Per Share
6.423
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.301
Return On Assets
0.0078
The market value of Banco Bradesco SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Bradesco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Bradesco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Bradesco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Bradesco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bradesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bradesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bradesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.