Build A Bear Workshop Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.33
| BBW Stock | USD 25.33 0.90 3.68% |
Closest to current price Build long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Build |
Build A Target Price Odds to finish over 25.33
The tendency of Build Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 25.33 | 90 days | 25.33 | about 82.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Build A to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.54 (This Build A Bear Workshop probability density function shows the probability of Build Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Build A will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Build-A-Bear Workshop is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Build A Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Build A
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Build-A-Bear Workshop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Build A's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Build A in the context of predictive analytics.
Build A Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Build A is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Build A's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Build A Bear Workshop, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Build A within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Build A Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Build A for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Build-A-Bear Workshop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Build A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Build A is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript - Yahoo Eurosport UK |
Build A Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Build Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Build A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Build A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.2 M |
Build A Technical Analysis
Build A's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Build Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Build A Bear Workshop. In general, you should focus on analyzing Build Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
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Build A Predictive Forecast Models
Build A's time-series forecasting models is one of many Build A's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Build A's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Build-A-Bear Workshop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Build A for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Build-A-Bear Workshop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Build A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Build A is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript - Yahoo Eurosport UK |
Check out Build A Backtesting, Build A Valuation, Build A Correlation, Build A Hype Analysis, Build A Volatility, Build A History as well as Build A Performance. Note that the Build-A-Bear Workshop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Build A's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Build Stock analysis
When running Build A's price analysis, check to measure Build A's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Build A is operating at the current time. Most of Build A's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Build A's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Build A's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Build A to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Build A's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Build A. If investors know Build will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Build A listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | Earnings Share 3.47 | Revenue Per Share 33.405 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 | Return On Assets 0.1628 |
The market value of Build-A-Bear Workshop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Build that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Build A's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Build A's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Build A's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Build A's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Build A's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Build A is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Build A's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.