Bath Body Works Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 85.22

BBWI Stock  USD 43.86  0.67  1.55%   
Bath Body's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bath Body Works. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bath Body based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bath Body Works over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $44.0 is a CALL option contract on Bath Body's common stock with a strick price of 44.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-18 at 15:03:06 for $0.35 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 19th of April is 45.51. View All Bath options

Closest to current price Bath long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Bath Body's future price is the expected price of Bath Body instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bath Body Works performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bath Body Backtesting, Bath Body Valuation, Bath Body Correlation, Bath Body Hype Analysis, Bath Body Volatility, Bath Body History as well as Bath Body Performance.
  
The Bath Body's current Price To Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.74. The Bath Body's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 19.17. Please specify Bath Body's target price for which you would like Bath Body odds to be computed.

Bath Body Target Price Odds to finish over 85.22

The tendency of Bath Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 85.22  or more in 90 days
 43.86 90 days 85.22 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bath Body to move over $ 85.22  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bath Body Works probability density function shows the probability of Bath Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bath Body Works price to stay between its current price of $ 43.86  and $ 85.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bath Body will likely underperform. Additionally Bath Body Works has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Bath Body Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bath Body

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bath Body Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bath Body's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0043.9745.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.4746.2748.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4441.4143.38
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.4847.7853.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bath Body. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bath Body's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bath Body's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bath Body Works.

Bath Body Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bath Body is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bath Body's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bath Body Works, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bath Body within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.49
σ
Overall volatility
2.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.0095

Bath Body Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bath Body for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bath Body Works can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Bath Body paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SL Green Realty Corp. Reports First Quarter 2024 EPS of 0.20 Per Share and FFO of 3.07 Per Share

Bath Body Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bath Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bath Body's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bath Body's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding229 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Bath Body Technical Analysis

Bath Body's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bath Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bath Body Works. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bath Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bath Body Predictive Forecast Models

Bath Body's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bath Body's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bath Body's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bath Body Works

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bath Body for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bath Body Works help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Bath Body paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SL Green Realty Corp. Reports First Quarter 2024 EPS of 0.20 Per Share and FFO of 3.07 Per Share
When determining whether Bath Body Works offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bath Body's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bath Body Works Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bath Body Works Stock:

Complementary Tools for Bath Stock analysis

When running Bath Body's price analysis, check to measure Bath Body's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bath Body is operating at the current time. Most of Bath Body's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bath Body's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bath Body's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bath Body to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bath Body's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bath Body. If investors know Bath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bath Body listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.352
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
3.84
Revenue Per Share
32.583
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.008
The market value of Bath Body Works is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bath Body's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bath Body's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bath Body's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bath Body's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bath Body's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bath Body is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bath Body's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.