BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.92

BCAAX Fund  USD 10.03  0.01  0.1%   
BrandywineGLOBAL's future price is the expected price of BrandywineGLOBAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BrandywineGLOBAL Corporate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Check out BrandywineGLOBAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BrandywineGLOBAL Correlation, BrandywineGLOBAL Hype Analysis, BrandywineGLOBAL Volatility, BrandywineGLOBAL History as well as BrandywineGLOBAL Performance. Please specify BrandywineGLOBAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BrandywineGLOBAL odds to be computed.

BrandywineGLOBAL Target Price Odds to finish below 9.92

The tendency of BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.92  or more in 90 days
 10.03 90 days 9.92 
about 44.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BrandywineGLOBAL to drop to $ 9.92  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.46 (This BrandywineGLOBAL Corporate probability density function shows the probability of BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BrandywineGLOBAL - price to stay between $ 9.92  and its current price of $10.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BrandywineGLOBAL has a beta of 0.0919 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BrandywineGLOBAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BrandywineGLOBAL Corporate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0114, implying that it can generate a 0.0114 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BrandywineGLOBAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BrandywineGLOBAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrandywineGLOBAL -. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrandywineGLOBAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BrandywineGLOBAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7810.0310.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7510.0010.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7910.0410.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.959.9910.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BrandywineGLOBAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BrandywineGLOBAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BrandywineGLOBAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BrandywineGLOBAL -.

BrandywineGLOBAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BrandywineGLOBAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BrandywineGLOBAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BrandywineGLOBAL Corporate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BrandywineGLOBAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01142
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

BrandywineGLOBAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BrandywineGLOBAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BrandywineGLOBAL - can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BrandywineGLOBAL - is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
BrandywineGLOBAL - holds about 11.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

BrandywineGLOBAL Technical Analysis

BrandywineGLOBAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BrandywineGLOBAL Corporate. In general, you should focus on analyzing BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BrandywineGLOBAL Predictive Forecast Models

BrandywineGLOBAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many BrandywineGLOBAL's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BrandywineGLOBAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BrandywineGLOBAL -

Checking the ongoing alerts about BrandywineGLOBAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BrandywineGLOBAL - help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BrandywineGLOBAL - is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
BrandywineGLOBAL - holds about 11.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out BrandywineGLOBAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BrandywineGLOBAL Correlation, BrandywineGLOBAL Hype Analysis, BrandywineGLOBAL Volatility, BrandywineGLOBAL History as well as BrandywineGLOBAL Performance. Note that the BrandywineGLOBAL - information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BrandywineGLOBAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for BrandywineGLOBAL Mutual Fund analysis

When running BrandywineGLOBAL's price analysis, check to measure BrandywineGLOBAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrandywineGLOBAL is operating at the current time. Most of BrandywineGLOBAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrandywineGLOBAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrandywineGLOBAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrandywineGLOBAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BrandywineGLOBAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BrandywineGLOBAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BrandywineGLOBAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.