Bcb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.75
| BCBP Stock | USD 9.75 0.14 1.46% |
Closest to current price BCB long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
BCB |
BCB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 9.75
The tendency of BCB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.75 | 90 days | 9.75 | about 82.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCB Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.74 (This BCB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of BCB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BCB Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally BCB Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. BCB Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BCB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BCB Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCB Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCB Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCB Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCB Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
BCB Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCB Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCB Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BCB Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BCB Bancorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BCB Bancorp stock price target cut on reserve build, NIM view |
BCB Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -16.6 M |
BCB Bancorp Technical Analysis
BCB Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCB Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BCB Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
BCB Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCB Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCB Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BCB Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about BCB Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCB Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BCB Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BCB Bancorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BCB Bancorp stock price target cut on reserve build, NIM view |
Check out BCB Bancorp Backtesting, BCB Bancorp Valuation, BCB Bancorp Correlation, BCB Bancorp Hype Analysis, BCB Bancorp Volatility, BCB Bancorp History as well as BCB Bancorp Performance. To learn how to invest in BCB Stock, please use our How to Invest in BCB Bancorp guide.Note that the BCB Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BCB Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for BCB Stock analysis
When running BCB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure BCB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BCB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of BCB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BCB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BCB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BCB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BCB Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BCB Bancorp. If investors know BCB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BCB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share 1.56 | Revenue Per Share 5.931 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of BCB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BCB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BCB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BCB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BCB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BCB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BCB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BCB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BCB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.