Atreca Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.0

BCEL
 Stock
  

USD 1.67  0.10  6.37%   

Atreca Inc's future price is the expected price of Atreca Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atreca Inc Cl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Atreca Inc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Atreca Inc Cl. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Atreca Inc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Atreca Inc Cl over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 PUT at $7.5 is a PUT option contract on Atreca Inc's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.5, and an ask price of $8.4. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of October is 345.7559. View All Atreca options

Closest to current price Atreca long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Atreca Inc Backtesting, Atreca Inc Valuation, Atreca Inc Correlation, Atreca Inc Hype Analysis, Atreca Inc Volatility, Atreca Inc History as well as Atreca Inc Performance. Please specify Atreca Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Atreca Inc odds to be computed.

Atreca Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 30.0

The tendency of Atreca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 30.00  or more in 90 days
 1.67 90 days 30.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atreca Inc to move over $ 30.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Atreca Inc Cl probability density function shows the probability of Atreca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atreca Inc Cl price to stay between its current price of $ 1.67  and $ 30.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atreca Inc has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Atreca Inc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atreca Inc Cl will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Atreca Inc Cl is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Atreca Inc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atreca Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atreca Inc Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atreca Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atreca Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.081.666.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.326.6411.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0278341.396.71
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0021.3330.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atreca Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atreca Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atreca Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atreca Inc Cl.

Atreca Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atreca Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atreca Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atreca Inc Cl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atreca Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.0001

Atreca Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atreca Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atreca Inc Cl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc Cl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atreca Inc Cl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Atreca Inc Cl may become a speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc Cl has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (108.43 M).
Atreca Inc Cl currently holds about 117.9 M in cash with (68.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Courtney Phillips of 6432 shares of Atreca Inc

Atreca Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atreca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atreca Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atreca Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.54%
Short Percent Of Float10.67%
Float Shares25.09M
Shares Short Prior Month4.02M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day106.55k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month160.59k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Atreca Inc Technical Analysis

Atreca Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atreca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atreca Inc Cl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atreca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atreca Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Atreca Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Atreca Inc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Atreca Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atreca Inc Cl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atreca Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atreca Inc Cl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc Cl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atreca Inc Cl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Atreca Inc Cl may become a speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc Cl has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (108.43 M).
Atreca Inc Cl currently holds about 117.9 M in cash with (68.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Courtney Phillips of 6432 shares of Atreca Inc
Continue to Atreca Inc Backtesting, Atreca Inc Valuation, Atreca Inc Correlation, Atreca Inc Hype Analysis, Atreca Inc Volatility, Atreca Inc History as well as Atreca Inc Performance. Note that the Atreca Inc Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atreca Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Atreca Stock analysis

When running Atreca Inc Cl price analysis, check to measure Atreca Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atreca Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Atreca Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atreca Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atreca Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atreca Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Is Atreca Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atreca Inc. If investors know Atreca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atreca Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Atreca Inc Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atreca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atreca Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atreca Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atreca Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atreca Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atreca Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atreca Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atreca Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.