Atreca Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.65

BCEL
 Stock
  

USD 0.87  0.01  1.14%   

Atreca's future price is the expected price of Atreca instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atreca Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is expected to hike to 0.75 this year, although the value of Price to Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to (1.11) .
  
Atreca's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Atreca Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Atreca based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Atreca Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Atreca's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-05 at 14:43:30 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $1.7. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 653.3757. View All Atreca options

Closest to current price Atreca long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Atreca Backtesting, Atreca Valuation, Atreca Correlation, Atreca Hype Analysis, Atreca Volatility, Atreca History as well as Atreca Performance. Please specify Atreca time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Atreca odds to be computed.

Atreca Target Price Odds to finish below 6.65

The tendency of Atreca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 6.65  after 90 days
 0.87 90 days 6.65 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atreca to stay under $ 6.65  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Atreca Inc probability density function shows the probability of Atreca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atreca Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.87  and $ 6.65  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Atreca will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Atreca Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Atreca Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atreca

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atreca Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atreca's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atreca in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.040.875.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.785.9810.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0172020.865.53
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0021.3330.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atreca. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atreca's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atreca's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atreca Inc.

Atreca Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atreca is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atreca's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atreca Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atreca within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Atreca Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atreca for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atreca Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atreca Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (109.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atreca Inc currently holds about 101.73 M in cash with (60.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Atreca Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Atreca Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atreca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atreca's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atreca's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37038195.00
Cash And Short Term Investments117033000.00

Atreca Technical Analysis

Atreca's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atreca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atreca Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atreca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atreca Predictive Forecast Models

Atreca time-series forecasting models is one of many Atreca's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Atreca's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atreca Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atreca for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atreca Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atreca Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (109.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atreca Inc currently holds about 101.73 M in cash with (60.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Atreca Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Continue to Atreca Backtesting, Atreca Valuation, Atreca Correlation, Atreca Hype Analysis, Atreca Volatility, Atreca History as well as Atreca Performance. Note that the Atreca Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atreca's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Atreca Stock analysis

When running Atreca Inc price analysis, check to measure Atreca's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atreca is operating at the current time. Most of Atreca's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atreca's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atreca's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atreca to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atreca's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atreca. If investors know Atreca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atreca listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
34.3 M
Return On Assets
(0.34) 
Return On Equity
(0.78) 
The market value of Atreca Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atreca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atreca's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atreca's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atreca's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atreca's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atreca's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atreca value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atreca's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.