Atreca Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.34

BCELDelisted Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  6.95%   
Atreca's future price is the expected price of Atreca instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atreca Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atreca Backtesting, Atreca Valuation, Atreca Correlation, Atreca Hype Analysis, Atreca Volatility, Atreca History as well as Atreca Performance.
  
Please specify Atreca's target price for which you would like Atreca odds to be computed.

Atreca Target Price Odds to finish over 9.34

The tendency of Atreca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.34  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 9.34 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atreca to move over $ 9.34  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Atreca Inc probability density function shows the probability of Atreca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atreca Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.07  and $ 9.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atreca Inc has a beta of -12.2 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Atreca Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Atreca is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Atreca Inc has an alpha of 1.2807, implying that it can generate a 1.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atreca Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atreca

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atreca Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atreca's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0720.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0720.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0120.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.070.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atreca. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atreca's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atreca's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Atreca Inc.

Atreca Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atreca is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atreca's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atreca Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atreca within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-12.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Atreca Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atreca for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atreca Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atreca Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Atreca Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (97.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atreca Inc currently holds about 101.73 M in cash with (65.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Atreca Inc Cl A Stock Quote Stock Price for BCEL FinancialContent Business Page - Financial Content

Atreca Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atreca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atreca's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atreca's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments70.5 M

Atreca Technical Analysis

Atreca's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atreca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atreca Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atreca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atreca Predictive Forecast Models

Atreca's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atreca's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atreca's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atreca Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atreca for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atreca Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atreca Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atreca Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atreca Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Atreca Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (97.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atreca Inc currently holds about 101.73 M in cash with (65.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Atreca Inc Cl A Stock Quote Stock Price for BCEL FinancialContent Business Page - Financial Content
Check out Atreca Backtesting, Atreca Valuation, Atreca Correlation, Atreca Hype Analysis, Atreca Volatility, Atreca History as well as Atreca Performance.
Note that the Atreca Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atreca's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Atreca Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Atreca Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Atreca's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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