Brandywine Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.5
| BDN Stock | USD 4.51 0.07 1.53% |
Closest to current price Brandywine long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Brandywine |
Brandywine Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 13.5
The tendency of Brandywine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.50 or more in 90 days |
| 4.51 | 90 days | 13.50 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brandywine Realty to move over $ 13.50 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Brandywine Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Brandywine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brandywine Realty Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 4.51 and $ 13.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.43 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brandywine Realty will likely underperform. Additionally Brandywine Realty Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Brandywine Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brandywine Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brandywine Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brandywine Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brandywine Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brandywine Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brandywine Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brandywine Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brandywine Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Brandywine Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brandywine Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brandywine Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brandywine Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brandywine Realty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 2.17 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brandywine Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Brandywine Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brandywine Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brandywine Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brandywine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brandywine Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 479.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (197.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.11 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of Brandywine Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of April 2024 Brandywine Realty paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Brandywine Realty Trust to Redeem All Outstanding 4.10 percent Guaranteed Notes due 2024 |
Brandywine Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brandywine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brandywine Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brandywine Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.5 M |
Brandywine Realty Technical Analysis
Brandywine Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brandywine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brandywine Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brandywine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brandywine Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Brandywine Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brandywine Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brandywine Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brandywine Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brandywine Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brandywine Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brandywine Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brandywine Realty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 2.17 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brandywine Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Brandywine Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brandywine Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brandywine Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brandywine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brandywine Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 479.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (197.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.11 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of Brandywine Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of April 2024 Brandywine Realty paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Brandywine Realty Trust to Redeem All Outstanding 4.10 percent Guaranteed Notes due 2024 |
Check out Brandywine Realty Backtesting, Brandywine Realty Valuation, Brandywine Realty Correlation, Brandywine Realty Hype Analysis, Brandywine Realty Volatility, Brandywine Realty History as well as Brandywine Realty Performance. Note that the Brandywine Realty Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brandywine Realty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Brandywine Stock analysis
When running Brandywine Realty's price analysis, check to measure Brandywine Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brandywine Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Brandywine Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brandywine Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brandywine Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brandywine Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brandywine Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brandywine Realty. If investors know Brandywine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brandywine Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.506 | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share (1.22) | Revenue Per Share 2.485 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Brandywine Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brandywine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brandywine Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brandywine Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brandywine Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brandywine Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brandywine Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brandywine Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brandywine Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.