Benson Hill Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18
| BHIL Stock | USD 0.18 0.02 12.50% |
Benson |
Benson Hill Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18
The tendency of Benson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 0.18 | about 77.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Benson Hill to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.48 (This Benson Hill probability density function shows the probability of Benson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.57 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Benson Hill will likely underperform. Additionally Benson Hill has an alpha of 0.0475, implying that it can generate a 0.0475 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Benson Hill Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Benson Hill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Benson Hill. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Benson Hill's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Benson Hill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Benson Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Benson Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Benson Hill, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Benson Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Benson Hill Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Benson Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Benson Hill can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Benson Hill had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Benson Hill has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Benson Hill has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 473.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.53 M. | |
| Benson Hill currently holds about 210.52 M in cash with (73.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Benson Hill Revises Second Quarter Earnings Release Call Time - The Globe and Mail |
Benson Hill Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Benson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Benson Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Benson Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.7 M |
Benson Hill Technical Analysis
Benson Hill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Benson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Benson Hill. In general, you should focus on analyzing Benson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Benson Hill Predictive Forecast Models
Benson Hill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Benson Hill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Benson Hill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Benson Hill
Checking the ongoing alerts about Benson Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Benson Hill help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Benson Hill had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Benson Hill has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Benson Hill has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 473.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.53 M. | |
| Benson Hill currently holds about 210.52 M in cash with (73.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Benson Hill Revises Second Quarter Earnings Release Call Time - The Globe and Mail |
Check out Benson Hill Backtesting, Benson Hill Valuation, Benson Hill Correlation, Benson Hill Hype Analysis, Benson Hill Volatility, Benson Hill History as well as Benson Hill Performance. For more information on how to buy Benson Stock please use our How to buy in Benson Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Benson Stock analysis
When running Benson Hill's price analysis, check to measure Benson Hill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Benson Hill is operating at the current time. Most of Benson Hill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Benson Hill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Benson Hill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Benson Hill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Benson Hill's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Benson Hill. If investors know Benson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Benson Hill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.59) | Revenue Per Share 2.519 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.176 | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (0.79) |
The market value of Benson Hill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Benson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Benson Hill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Benson Hill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Benson Hill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Benson Hill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Benson Hill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Benson Hill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Benson Hill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.