Berkeley LightsInc Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.20

BLIDelisted Stock  USD 1.20  0.08  6.25%   
Berkeley LightsInc's future price is the expected price of Berkeley LightsInc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Berkeley LightsInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify Berkeley LightsInc's target price for which you would like Berkeley LightsInc odds to be computed.

Berkeley LightsInc Target Price Odds to finish over 1.20

The tendency of Berkeley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.20 90 days 1.20 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berkeley LightsInc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Berkeley LightsInc probability density function shows the probability of Berkeley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Berkeley LightsInc has a beta of -1.09 suggesting Additionally Berkeley LightsInc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Berkeley LightsInc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Berkeley LightsInc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkeley LightsInc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Berkeley LightsInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.201.201.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.141.141.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Berkeley LightsInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Berkeley LightsInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Berkeley LightsInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Berkeley LightsInc.

Berkeley LightsInc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berkeley LightsInc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berkeley LightsInc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berkeley LightsInc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berkeley LightsInc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.96
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Berkeley LightsInc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berkeley LightsInc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berkeley LightsInc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkeley LightsInc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Berkeley LightsInc may become a speculative penny stock
Berkeley LightsInc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 78.59 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (98.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 53.78 M.
Berkeley LightsInc has about 152.38 M in cash with (47.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.23, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Berkeley LightsInc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berkeley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berkeley LightsInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkeley LightsInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments132.8 M

Berkeley LightsInc Technical Analysis

Berkeley LightsInc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berkeley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berkeley LightsInc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berkeley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Berkeley LightsInc Predictive Forecast Models

Berkeley LightsInc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berkeley LightsInc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berkeley LightsInc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Berkeley LightsInc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Berkeley LightsInc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berkeley LightsInc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkeley LightsInc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Berkeley LightsInc may become a speculative penny stock
Berkeley LightsInc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 78.59 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (98.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 53.78 M.
Berkeley LightsInc has about 152.38 M in cash with (47.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.23, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Other Consideration for investing in Berkeley Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Berkeley LightsInc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Berkeley LightsInc's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements