Bladeranger (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1835.0

BLRN Stock  ILA 110.60  6.70  6.45%   
Bladeranger's future price is the expected price of Bladeranger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bladeranger performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bladeranger Backtesting, Bladeranger Valuation, Bladeranger Correlation, Bladeranger Hype Analysis, Bladeranger Volatility, Bladeranger History as well as Bladeranger Performance.
  
Please specify Bladeranger's target price for which you would like Bladeranger odds to be computed.

Bladeranger Target Price Odds to finish below 1835.0

The tendency of Bladeranger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,835  after 90 days
 110.60 90 days 1,835 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bladeranger to stay under  1,835  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bladeranger probability density function shows the probability of Bladeranger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bladeranger price to stay between its current price of  110.60  and  1,835  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bladeranger has a beta of -0.0183 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Bladeranger are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Bladeranger is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bladeranger has an alpha of 0.3689, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bladeranger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bladeranger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bladeranger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bladeranger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.49110.60117.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.9391.03121.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
129.37136.48143.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.16106.57117.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bladeranger. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bladeranger's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bladeranger's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bladeranger.

Bladeranger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bladeranger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bladeranger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bladeranger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bladeranger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
26.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Bladeranger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bladeranger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bladeranger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bladeranger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bladeranger has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (6.53 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28 K).
Bladeranger has accumulated about 22.76 M in cash with (4.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.1.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bladeranger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bladeranger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bladeranger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bladeranger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float2.4 M

Bladeranger Technical Analysis

Bladeranger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bladeranger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bladeranger. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bladeranger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bladeranger Predictive Forecast Models

Bladeranger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bladeranger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bladeranger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bladeranger

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bladeranger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bladeranger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bladeranger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bladeranger has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (6.53 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28 K).
Bladeranger has accumulated about 22.76 M in cash with (4.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.1.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Bladeranger Backtesting, Bladeranger Valuation, Bladeranger Correlation, Bladeranger Hype Analysis, Bladeranger Volatility, Bladeranger History as well as Bladeranger Performance.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Bladeranger Stock analysis

When running Bladeranger's price analysis, check to measure Bladeranger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bladeranger is operating at the current time. Most of Bladeranger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bladeranger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bladeranger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bladeranger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bladeranger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bladeranger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bladeranger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.