Biomea Fusion Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.77
BMEA Stock | USD 10.77 0.21 1.91% |
Closest to current price Biomea long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Biomea |
Biomea Fusion Target Price Odds to finish over 10.77
The tendency of Biomea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
10.77 | 90 days | 10.77 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biomea Fusion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Biomea Fusion probability density function shows the probability of Biomea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.12 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Biomea Fusion will likely underperform. Additionally Biomea Fusion has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Biomea Fusion Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Biomea Fusion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biomea Fusion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biomea Fusion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Biomea Fusion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biomea Fusion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biomea Fusion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biomea Fusion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biomea Fusion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Biomea Fusion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biomea Fusion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biomea Fusion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Biomea Fusion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Biomea Fusion has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Biomea Fusion has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Net Loss for the year was (117.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Biomea Fusion currently holds about 149.63 M in cash with (96.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.11. | |
Biomea Fusion has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis - Stock Traders Daily |
Biomea Fusion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biomea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biomea Fusion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biomea Fusion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.9 M | |
Shares Float | 19.4 M |
Biomea Fusion Technical Analysis
Biomea Fusion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biomea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biomea Fusion. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biomea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Biomea Fusion Predictive Forecast Models
Biomea Fusion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Biomea Fusion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biomea Fusion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Biomea Fusion
Checking the ongoing alerts about Biomea Fusion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biomea Fusion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Biomea Fusion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Biomea Fusion has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Biomea Fusion has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Net Loss for the year was (117.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Biomea Fusion currently holds about 149.63 M in cash with (96.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.11. | |
Biomea Fusion has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out Biomea Fusion Backtesting, Biomea Fusion Valuation, Biomea Fusion Correlation, Biomea Fusion Hype Analysis, Biomea Fusion Volatility, Biomea Fusion History as well as Biomea Fusion Performance. For information on how to trade Biomea Stock refer to our How to Trade Biomea Stock guide.Note that the Biomea Fusion information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Biomea Fusion's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Complementary Tools for Biomea Stock analysis
When running Biomea Fusion's price analysis, check to measure Biomea Fusion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biomea Fusion is operating at the current time. Most of Biomea Fusion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biomea Fusion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biomea Fusion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biomea Fusion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Biomea Fusion's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biomea Fusion. If investors know Biomea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Biomea Fusion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.44) | Return On Assets (0.48) | Return On Equity (0.84) |
The market value of Biomea Fusion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Biomea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Biomea Fusion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Biomea Fusion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Biomea Fusion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Biomea Fusion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Biomea Fusion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biomea Fusion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biomea Fusion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.