Badger Meter Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 161.00

BMI Stock  USD 161.00  3.50  2.22%   
Badger Meter's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Badger Meter. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Badger Meter based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Badger Meter over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $160.0 is a CALL option contract on Badger Meter's common stock with a strick price of 160.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 11:17:05 for $4.8 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.6, and an ask price of $7.2. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 25.72. View All Badger options

Closest to current price Badger long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Badger Meter's future price is the expected price of Badger Meter instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Badger Meter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Badger Meter Backtesting, Badger Meter Valuation, Badger Meter Correlation, Badger Meter Hype Analysis, Badger Meter Volatility, Badger Meter History as well as Badger Meter Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Badger Stock please use our How to Invest in Badger Meter guide.
  
The Badger Meter's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 51.26. The Badger Meter's current Price To Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 6.75. Please specify Badger Meter's target price for which you would like Badger Meter odds to be computed.

Badger Meter Target Price Odds to finish over 161.00

The tendency of Badger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 161.00 90 days 161.00 
about 8.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Badger Meter to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.18 (This Badger Meter probability density function shows the probability of Badger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Badger Meter will likely underperform. Additionally Badger Meter has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Badger Meter Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Badger Meter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Badger Meter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Badger Meter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.44161.02162.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.97145.55177.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
163.22164.80166.37
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
134.50147.80164.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Badger Meter. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Badger Meter's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Badger Meter's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Badger Meter.

Badger Meter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Badger Meter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Badger Meter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Badger Meter, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Badger Meter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.40
σ
Overall volatility
5.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Badger Meter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Badger Meter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Badger Meter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Badger Meter has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Badger Meter paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Alphabet Adds Verification Feature in Google Wallet

Badger Meter Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Badger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Badger Meter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Badger Meter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments191.8 M

Badger Meter Technical Analysis

Badger Meter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Badger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Badger Meter. In general, you should focus on analyzing Badger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Badger Meter Predictive Forecast Models

Badger Meter's time-series forecasting models is one of many Badger Meter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Badger Meter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Badger Meter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Badger Meter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Badger Meter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Badger Meter has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Badger Meter paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Alphabet Adds Verification Feature in Google Wallet
When determining whether Badger Meter offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Badger Meter's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Badger Meter Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Badger Meter Stock:

Complementary Tools for Badger Stock analysis

When running Badger Meter's price analysis, check to measure Badger Meter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Badger Meter is operating at the current time. Most of Badger Meter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Badger Meter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Badger Meter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Badger Meter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Is Badger Meter's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Badger Meter. If investors know Badger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Badger Meter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
Dividend Share
0.99
Earnings Share
3.13
Revenue Per Share
24.026
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.238
The market value of Badger Meter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Badger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Badger Meter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Badger Meter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Badger Meter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Badger Meter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Badger Meter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Badger Meter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Badger Meter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.