Bp Prudhoe Bay Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.25
| BPT Stock | USD 2.25 0.02 0.88% |
Closest to current price BPT long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
BPT |
BP Prudhoe Target Price Odds to finish over 2.25
The tendency of BPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.25 | 90 days | 2.25 | about 84.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BP Prudhoe to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.13 (This BP Prudhoe Bay probability density function shows the probability of BPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BP Prudhoe has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BP Prudhoe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BP Prudhoe Bay will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BP Prudhoe Bay has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. BP Prudhoe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BP Prudhoe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BP Prudhoe Bay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BP Prudhoe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BP Prudhoe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BP Prudhoe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BP Prudhoe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BP Prudhoe Bay, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BP Prudhoe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
BP Prudhoe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BP Prudhoe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BP Prudhoe Bay can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BP Prudhoe Bay generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BP Prudhoe Bay has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from fnarena.com: Australian Broker Call Extra Edition Apr 16, 2024 |
BP Prudhoe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BPT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BP Prudhoe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BP Prudhoe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 M |
BP Prudhoe Technical Analysis
BP Prudhoe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BP Prudhoe Bay. In general, you should focus on analyzing BPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BP Prudhoe Predictive Forecast Models
BP Prudhoe's time-series forecasting models is one of many BP Prudhoe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BP Prudhoe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BP Prudhoe Bay
Checking the ongoing alerts about BP Prudhoe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BP Prudhoe Bay help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BP Prudhoe Bay generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BP Prudhoe Bay has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from fnarena.com: Australian Broker Call Extra Edition Apr 16, 2024 |
Check out BP Prudhoe Backtesting, BP Prudhoe Valuation, BP Prudhoe Correlation, BP Prudhoe Hype Analysis, BP Prudhoe Volatility, BP Prudhoe History as well as BP Prudhoe Performance. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for BPT Stock analysis
When running BP Prudhoe's price analysis, check to measure BP Prudhoe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BP Prudhoe is operating at the current time. Most of BP Prudhoe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BP Prudhoe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BP Prudhoe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BP Prudhoe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BP Prudhoe's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BP Prudhoe. If investors know BPT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BP Prudhoe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 0.324 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) | Return On Assets 0.6157 |
The market value of BP Prudhoe Bay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BPT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BP Prudhoe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BP Prudhoe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BP Prudhoe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BP Prudhoe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BP Prudhoe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BP Prudhoe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BP Prudhoe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.