Brown Brown Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.85
| BRO Stock | USD 81.13 0.51 0.63% |
Closest to current price Brown long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Brown |
Brown Brown Target Price Odds to finish below 54.85
The tendency of Brown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 54.85 or more in 90 days |
| 81.13 | 90 days | 54.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brown Brown to drop to $ 54.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brown Brown probability density function shows the probability of Brown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brown Brown price to stay between $ 54.85 and its current price of $81.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Brown Brown has a beta of 0.83 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brown Brown average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brown Brown will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brown Brown has an alpha of 0.0771, implying that it can generate a 0.0771 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brown Brown Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brown Brown
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brown Brown. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brown Brown's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brown Brown Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brown Brown is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brown Brown's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brown Brown, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brown Brown within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Brown Brown Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brown Brown for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brown Brown can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brown Brown has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Discover Financial Q1 Earnings Miss on High Costs |
Brown Brown Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brown Brown's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brown Brown's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Brown Brown Technical Analysis
Brown Brown's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brown Brown. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brown Brown Predictive Forecast Models
Brown Brown's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brown Brown's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brown Brown's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brown Brown
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brown Brown for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brown Brown help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brown Brown has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Discover Financial Q1 Earnings Miss on High Costs |
Check out Brown Brown Backtesting, Brown Brown Valuation, Brown Brown Correlation, Brown Brown Hype Analysis, Brown Brown Volatility, Brown Brown History as well as Brown Brown Performance. To learn how to invest in Brown Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brown Brown guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Brown Stock analysis
When running Brown Brown's price analysis, check to measure Brown Brown's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brown Brown is operating at the current time. Most of Brown Brown's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brown Brown's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brown Brown's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brown Brown to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brown Brown's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brown Brown. If investors know Brown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brown Brown listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.832 | Dividend Share 0.475 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 15.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 |
The market value of Brown Brown is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brown Brown's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brown Brown's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brown Brown's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brown Brown's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brown Brown's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brown Brown is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brown Brown's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.