Bentley Systemsinc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 52.22

BSY Stock  USD 52.22  0.64  1.24%   
Bentley SystemsInc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bentley SystemsInc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bentley SystemsInc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bentley SystemsInc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $50.0 is a CALL option contract on Bentley SystemsInc's common stock with a strick price of 50.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-21 at 14:27:11 for $2.99 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.25, and an ask price of $2.7. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 29.24. View All Bentley options

Closest to current price Bentley long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Bentley SystemsInc's future price is the expected price of Bentley SystemsInc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bentley SystemsInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bentley SystemsInc Backtesting, Bentley SystemsInc Valuation, Bentley SystemsInc Correlation, Bentley SystemsInc Hype Analysis, Bentley SystemsInc Volatility, Bentley SystemsInc History as well as Bentley SystemsInc Performance.
For more information on how to buy Bentley Stock please use our How to Invest in Bentley SystemsInc guide.
  
At this time, Bentley SystemsInc's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to rise to 35.97 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 10.58 in 2024. Please specify Bentley SystemsInc's target price for which you would like Bentley SystemsInc odds to be computed.

Bentley SystemsInc Target Price Odds to finish over 52.22

The tendency of Bentley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.22 90 days 52.22 
about 14.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bentley SystemsInc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.48 (This Bentley SystemsInc probability density function shows the probability of Bentley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bentley SystemsInc will likely underperform. Additionally Bentley SystemsInc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Bentley SystemsInc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bentley SystemsInc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bentley SystemsInc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bentley SystemsInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.0852.2254.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.0054.1456.28
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.5557.7564.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.260.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bentley SystemsInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bentley SystemsInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bentley SystemsInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bentley SystemsInc.

Bentley SystemsInc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bentley SystemsInc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bentley SystemsInc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bentley SystemsInc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bentley SystemsInc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Bentley SystemsInc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bentley SystemsInc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bentley SystemsInc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 1.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.78, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Bentley SystemsInc has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Bentley SystemsInc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bentley SystemsInc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bentley SystemsInc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bentley to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bentley SystemsInc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Bentley SystemsInc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 48.0% of Bentley SystemsInc shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 10000 shares by Griswold Kirk B. of Bentley SystemsInc at 5.74 subject to Rule 16b-3

Bentley SystemsInc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bentley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bentley SystemsInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bentley SystemsInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding332.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.4 M

Bentley SystemsInc Technical Analysis

Bentley SystemsInc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bentley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bentley SystemsInc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bentley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bentley SystemsInc Predictive Forecast Models

Bentley SystemsInc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bentley SystemsInc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bentley SystemsInc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bentley SystemsInc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bentley SystemsInc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bentley SystemsInc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 1.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.78, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Bentley SystemsInc has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Bentley SystemsInc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bentley SystemsInc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bentley SystemsInc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bentley to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bentley SystemsInc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Bentley SystemsInc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 48.0% of Bentley SystemsInc shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 10000 shares by Griswold Kirk B. of Bentley SystemsInc at 5.74 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Bentley SystemsInc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bentley SystemsInc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bentley Systemsinc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bentley Systemsinc Stock:

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When running Bentley SystemsInc's price analysis, check to measure Bentley SystemsInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bentley SystemsInc is operating at the current time. Most of Bentley SystemsInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bentley SystemsInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bentley SystemsInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bentley SystemsInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bentley SystemsInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bentley SystemsInc. If investors know Bentley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bentley SystemsInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.545
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
1
Revenue Per Share
3.933
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
The market value of Bentley SystemsInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bentley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bentley SystemsInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bentley SystemsInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bentley SystemsInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bentley SystemsInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bentley SystemsInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bentley SystemsInc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bentley SystemsInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.