Burford Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.21
| BUR Stock | USD 14.86 0.20 1.33% |
Closest to current price Burford long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Burford |
Burford Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 9.21
The tendency of Burford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.21 in 90 days |
| 14.86 | 90 days | 9.21 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burford Capital to stay above $ 9.21 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Burford Capital probability density function shows the probability of Burford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burford Capital price to stay between $ 9.21 and its current price of $14.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.43 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Burford Capital will likely underperform. Additionally Burford Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Burford Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Burford Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burford Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burford Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burford Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burford Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burford Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burford Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burford Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0072 |
Burford Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burford Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burford Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Burford Capital has about 478.84 M in cash with (281.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Top 10 at 11 A non-therapeutic med launch hits big, DUB hits the skids |
Burford Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burford Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burford Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 223 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -28.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 327.6 M |
Burford Capital Technical Analysis
Burford Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burford Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Burford Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Burford Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burford Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burford Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Burford Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Burford Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burford Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Burford Capital has about 478.84 M in cash with (281.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Top 10 at 11 A non-therapeutic med launch hits big, DUB hits the skids |
Check out Burford Capital Backtesting, Burford Capital Valuation, Burford Capital Correlation, Burford Capital Hype Analysis, Burford Capital Volatility, Burford Capital History as well as Burford Capital Performance. To learn how to invest in Burford Stock, please use our How to Invest in Burford Capital guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for Burford Stock analysis
When running Burford Capital's price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Burford Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burford Capital. If investors know Burford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burford Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.293 | Dividend Share 0.125 | Earnings Share 2.74 | Revenue Per Share 4.929 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.987 |
The market value of Burford Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burford Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burford Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burford Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burford Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burford Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burford Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burford Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.