Burlington Stores Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 178.74
| BURL Stock | USD 178.74 2.01 1.11% |
Closest to current price Burlington long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Burlington |
Burlington Stores Target Price Odds to finish over 178.74
The tendency of Burlington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 178.74 | 90 days | 178.74 | over 95.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burlington Stores to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.74 (This Burlington Stores probability density function shows the probability of Burlington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Burlington Stores will likely underperform. Additionally Burlington Stores has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Burlington Stores Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Burlington Stores
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burlington Stores. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burlington Stores' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burlington Stores Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burlington Stores is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burlington Stores' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burlington Stores, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burlington Stores within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Burlington Stores Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burlington Stores for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burlington Stores can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Burlington Stores generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: These 4 Measures Indicate That Burlington Stores Is Using Debt Reasonably Well |
Burlington Stores Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burlington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burlington Stores' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burlington Stores' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 925.4 M |
Burlington Stores Technical Analysis
Burlington Stores' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burlington Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burlington Stores. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burlington Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Burlington Stores Predictive Forecast Models
Burlington Stores' time-series forecasting models is one of many Burlington Stores' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burlington Stores' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Burlington Stores
Checking the ongoing alerts about Burlington Stores for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burlington Stores help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Burlington Stores generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: These 4 Measures Indicate That Burlington Stores Is Using Debt Reasonably Well |
Check out Burlington Stores Backtesting, Burlington Stores Valuation, Burlington Stores Correlation, Burlington Stores Hype Analysis, Burlington Stores Volatility, Burlington Stores History as well as Burlington Stores Performance. For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Burlington Stock analysis
When running Burlington Stores' price analysis, check to measure Burlington Stores' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burlington Stores is operating at the current time. Most of Burlington Stores' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burlington Stores' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burlington Stores' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burlington Stores to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Burlington Stores' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. If investors know Burlington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burlington Stores listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Earnings Share 5.22 | Revenue Per Share 150.268 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 | Return On Assets 0.047 |
The market value of Burlington Stores is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burlington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burlington Stores' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burlington Stores' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burlington Stores' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burlington Stores' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burlington Stores' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burlington Stores is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burlington Stores' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.