Compania Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.10

BVN
 Stock
  

USD 7.10  0.30  4.41%   

Compania Mina's future price is the expected price of Compania Mina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compania Mina Buenaventura performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Compania Mina Price to Book Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Price to Book Value is estimated at 1.01. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 2.63 this year, although the value of Price to Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to (7.59) .
  
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Compania Mina's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Compania Mina Buenaventura. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Compania Mina based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Compania Mina Buenaventura over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $7.0 is a CALL option contract on Compania Mina's common stock with a strick price of 7.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 26th of June is 55.1764. View All Compania options

Closest to current price Compania long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Compania Mina Backtesting, Compania Mina Valuation, Compania Mina Correlation, Compania Mina Hype Analysis, Compania Mina Volatility, Compania Mina History as well as Compania Mina Performance. Please specify Compania Mina time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Compania Mina odds to be computed.
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Compania Mina Target Price Odds to finish over 7.10

The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.10 90 days 7.10  under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania Mina to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Compania Mina Buenaventura probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Compania Mina has a beta of 0.81 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compania Mina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compania Mina Buenaventura will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Compania Mina Buenav is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Compania Mina Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Compania Mina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania Mina Buenav. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compania Mina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Compania Mina in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.357.2011.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.026.8710.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.666.5110.35
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.007.007.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Compania Mina. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Compania Mina's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Compania Mina's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Compania Mina Buenav.

Compania Mina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania Mina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania Mina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania Mina Buenaventura, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania Mina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.35
β
Beta against DOW0.81
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Compania Mina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania Mina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania Mina Buenav can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania Mina Buenav generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compania Mina Buenav has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 883.16 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (113.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 350.29 M.
Compania Mina Buenaventura has about 287.87 M in cash with (332.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from mbutimeline.com: Manganese Sulphate Market Statistics, Key Players, Sales Growth and Market Overview by 2029 Prince , Compania de Minas Buenaventura, GoodEarth India mbu timeline - mbu timeline

Compania Mina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compania Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compania Mina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compania Mina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Short Prior Month6.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.65M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.44M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Compania Mina Technical Analysis

Compania Mina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania Mina Buenaventura. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compania Mina Predictive Forecast Models

Compania Mina time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania Mina's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Compania Mina's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compania Mina Buenav

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania Mina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania Mina Buenav help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Compania Mina Alerts

Compania Mina Alerts and Suggestions

Compania Mina Buenav generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compania Mina Buenav has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 883.16 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (113.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 350.29 M.
Compania Mina Buenaventura has about 287.87 M in cash with (332.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from mbutimeline.com: Manganese Sulphate Market Statistics, Key Players, Sales Growth and Market Overview by 2029 Prince , Compania de Minas Buenaventura, GoodEarth India mbu timeline - mbu timeline
Continue to Compania Mina Backtesting, Compania Mina Valuation, Compania Mina Correlation, Compania Mina Hype Analysis, Compania Mina Volatility, Compania Mina History as well as Compania Mina Performance. Note that the Compania Mina Buenav information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Compania Mina's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Compania Stock analysis

When running Compania Mina Buenav price analysis, check to measure Compania Mina's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compania Mina is operating at the current time. Most of Compania Mina's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compania Mina's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compania Mina's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compania Mina to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Compania Mina's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Compania Mina. If investors know Compania will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Compania Mina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
40.74
Market Capitalization
1.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.25
Return On Assets
0.0096
Return On Equity
0.0907
The market value of Compania Mina Buenav is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Compania that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Compania Mina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Compania Mina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Compania Mina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Compania Mina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Compania Mina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Compania Mina value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compania Mina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.