Bioventus Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.00

BVS
 Stock
  

USD 7.00  0.07  0.99%   

Bioventus Inc's future price is the expected price of Bioventus Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bioventus Inc Cl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Bioventus Inc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bioventus Inc Cl. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bioventus Inc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bioventus Inc Cl over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Bioventus Inc's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $3.0. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of October is 337.125. View All Bioventus options

Closest to current price Bioventus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Bioventus Inc Backtesting, Bioventus Inc Valuation, Bioventus Inc Correlation, Bioventus Inc Hype Analysis, Bioventus Inc Volatility, Bioventus Inc History as well as Bioventus Inc Performance. Please specify Bioventus Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bioventus Inc odds to be computed.

Bioventus Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 7.00

The tendency of Bioventus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.00 90 days 7.00 
about 90.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bioventus Inc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.07 (This Bioventus Inc Cl probability density function shows the probability of Bioventus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bioventus Inc will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1994, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bioventus Inc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bioventus Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bioventus Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bioventus Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bioventus Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.707.0011.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.5910.8915.19
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0022.6725.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bioventus Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bioventus Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bioventus Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bioventus Inc.

Bioventus Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bioventus Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bioventus Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bioventus Inc Cl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bioventus Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.20
β
Beta against DOW1.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.030466

Bioventus Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bioventus Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bioventus Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bioventus Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bioventus Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bioventus Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 466.41 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (52.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 302.71 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Bioventus Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bioventus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bioventus Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bioventus Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.79%
Short Percent Of Float4.42%
Float Shares28.23M
Shares Short Prior Month1.81M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day159.73k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month146.55k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Bioventus Inc Technical Analysis

Bioventus Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bioventus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bioventus Inc Cl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bioventus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bioventus Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Bioventus Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Bioventus Inc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bioventus Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bioventus Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bioventus Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bioventus Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bioventus Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bioventus Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bioventus Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 466.41 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (52.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 302.71 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Continue to Bioventus Inc Backtesting, Bioventus Inc Valuation, Bioventus Inc Correlation, Bioventus Inc Hype Analysis, Bioventus Inc Volatility, Bioventus Inc History as well as Bioventus Inc Performance. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running Bioventus Inc price analysis, check to measure Bioventus Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bioventus Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Bioventus Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bioventus Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bioventus Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bioventus Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bioventus Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bioventus Inc. If investors know Bioventus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bioventus Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bioventus Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bioventus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bioventus Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bioventus Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bioventus Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bioventus Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bioventus Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bioventus Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bioventus Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.