Boyd Gaming Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.89

BYD Stock  USD 54.12  0.04  0.07%   
Boyd Gaming's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Boyd Gaming. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Boyd Gaming based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Boyd Gaming over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $55.0 is a CALL option contract on Boyd Gaming's common stock with a strick price of 55.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-03 at 15:52:25 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.7. The implied volatility as of the 6th of May is 23.07. View All Boyd options

Closest to current price Boyd long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Boyd Gaming's future price is the expected price of Boyd Gaming instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boyd Gaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boyd Gaming Backtesting, Boyd Gaming Valuation, Boyd Gaming Correlation, Boyd Gaming Hype Analysis, Boyd Gaming Volatility, Boyd Gaming History as well as Boyd Gaming Performance.
For information on how to trade Boyd Stock refer to our How to Trade Boyd Stock guide.
  
At present, Boyd Gaming's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 2.52, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.95. Please specify Boyd Gaming's target price for which you would like Boyd Gaming odds to be computed.

Boyd Gaming Target Price Odds to finish over 62.89

The tendency of Boyd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 62.89  or more in 90 days
 54.12 90 days 62.89 
about 53.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boyd Gaming to move over $ 62.89  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.94 (This Boyd Gaming probability density function shows the probability of Boyd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boyd Gaming price to stay between its current price of $ 54.12  and $ 62.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.73 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 suggesting Boyd Gaming market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Boyd Gaming is expected to follow. Additionally Boyd Gaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Boyd Gaming Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boyd Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boyd Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boyd Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.9554.2956.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7168.5270.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.5150.8653.20
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.5579.7388.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boyd Gaming. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boyd Gaming's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boyd Gaming's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Boyd Gaming.

Boyd Gaming Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boyd Gaming is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boyd Gaming's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boyd Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boyd Gaming within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.01
σ
Overall volatility
3.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Boyd Gaming Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boyd Gaming for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boyd Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boyd Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 3.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.42, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Boyd Gaming has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Boyd Gaming until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Boyd Gaming's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Boyd Gaming sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Boyd to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Boyd Gaming's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Boyd Gaming has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 70.0% of Boyd Gaming shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 Boyd Gaming paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fortune.com: The transition to electrification ramps up as Ferrari unveils a 423,000 sports car to rival BYDs electric supercar

Boyd Gaming Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boyd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boyd Gaming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boyd Gaming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments308.6 M

Boyd Gaming Technical Analysis

Boyd Gaming's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boyd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boyd Gaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boyd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boyd Gaming Predictive Forecast Models

Boyd Gaming's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boyd Gaming's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boyd Gaming's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boyd Gaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boyd Gaming for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boyd Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boyd Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 3.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.42, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Boyd Gaming has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Boyd Gaming until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Boyd Gaming's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Boyd Gaming sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Boyd to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Boyd Gaming's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Boyd Gaming has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 70.0% of Boyd Gaming shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 Boyd Gaming paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fortune.com: The transition to electrification ramps up as Ferrari unveils a 423,000 sports car to rival BYDs electric supercar
When determining whether Boyd Gaming is a strong investment it is important to analyze Boyd Gaming's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Boyd Gaming's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Boyd Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Boyd Stock analysis

When running Boyd Gaming's price analysis, check to measure Boyd Gaming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boyd Gaming is operating at the current time. Most of Boyd Gaming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boyd Gaming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boyd Gaming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boyd Gaming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boyd Gaming's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boyd Gaming. If investors know Boyd will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boyd Gaming listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
0.65
Earnings Share
5.59
Revenue Per Share
37.433
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Boyd Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boyd that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boyd Gaming's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boyd Gaming's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boyd Gaming's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boyd Gaming's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boyd Gaming's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boyd Gaming is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boyd Gaming's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.