Cabaletta Bio Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.07
| CABA Stock | USD 12.96 0.36 2.70% |
Closest to current price Cabaletta long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cabaletta |
Cabaletta Bio Target Price Odds to finish below 0.07
The tendency of Cabaletta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 12.96 | 90 days | 0.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cabaletta Bio to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cabaletta Bio probability density function shows the probability of Cabaletta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cabaletta Bio price to stay between $ 0.07 and its current price of $12.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cabaletta Bio has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cabaletta Bio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cabaletta Bio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cabaletta Bio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cabaletta Bio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cabaletta Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cabaletta Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cabaletta Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cabaletta Bio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cabaletta Bio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cabaletta Bio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cabaletta Bio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cabaletta Bio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Cabaletta Bio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cabaletta Bio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cabaletta Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cabaletta Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cabaletta Bio has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (67.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Cabaletta Bio currently holds about 96.81 M in cash with (53.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.34. | |
| Cabaletta Bio has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Henriques Richard C Jr of 22000 shares of Cabaletta Bio subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Cabaletta Bio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cabaletta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cabaletta Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cabaletta Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241.2 M |
Cabaletta Bio Technical Analysis
Cabaletta Bio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cabaletta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cabaletta Bio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cabaletta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cabaletta Bio Predictive Forecast Models
Cabaletta Bio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cabaletta Bio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cabaletta Bio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cabaletta Bio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cabaletta Bio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cabaletta Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cabaletta Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cabaletta Bio has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (67.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Cabaletta Bio currently holds about 96.81 M in cash with (53.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.34. | |
| Cabaletta Bio has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Henriques Richard C Jr of 22000 shares of Cabaletta Bio subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Cabaletta Bio Backtesting, Cabaletta Bio Valuation, Cabaletta Bio Correlation, Cabaletta Bio Hype Analysis, Cabaletta Bio Volatility, Cabaletta Bio History as well as Cabaletta Bio Performance. For information on how to trade Cabaletta Stock refer to our How to Trade Cabaletta Stock guide.Note that the Cabaletta Bio information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cabaletta Bio's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Cabaletta Stock analysis
When running Cabaletta Bio's price analysis, check to measure Cabaletta Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cabaletta Bio is operating at the current time. Most of Cabaletta Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cabaletta Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cabaletta Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cabaletta Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cabaletta Bio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cabaletta Bio. If investors know Cabaletta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cabaletta Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.65) | Return On Assets (0.25) | Return On Equity (0.40) |
The market value of Cabaletta Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cabaletta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cabaletta Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cabaletta Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cabaletta Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cabaletta Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cabaletta Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cabaletta Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cabaletta Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.