Crossamerica Partners Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.0
| CAPL Stock | USD 23.09 0.04 0.17% |
Crossamerica |
Crossamerica Partners Target Price Odds to finish over 15.0
The tendency of Crossamerica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 15.00 in 90 days |
| 23.09 | 90 days | 15.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crossamerica Partners to stay above $ 15.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Crossamerica Partners LP probability density function shows the probability of Crossamerica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crossamerica Partners price to stay between $ 15.00 and its current price of $23.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Crossamerica Partners has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crossamerica Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crossamerica Partners LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crossamerica Partners LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Crossamerica Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crossamerica Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crossamerica Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crossamerica Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crossamerica Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crossamerica Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crossamerica Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crossamerica Partners LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crossamerica Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Crossamerica Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crossamerica Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crossamerica Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crossamerica Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 910.47 M in liabilities. Crossamerica Partners has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Crossamerica Partners until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crossamerica Partners' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crossamerica Partners sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crossamerica to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crossamerica Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Crossamerica Partners has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Crossamerica Partners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crossamerica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crossamerica Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crossamerica Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Crossamerica Partners Technical Analysis
Crossamerica Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crossamerica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crossamerica Partners LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crossamerica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crossamerica Partners Predictive Forecast Models
Crossamerica Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crossamerica Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crossamerica Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crossamerica Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crossamerica Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crossamerica Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crossamerica Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 910.47 M in liabilities. Crossamerica Partners has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Crossamerica Partners until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crossamerica Partners' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crossamerica Partners sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crossamerica to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crossamerica Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Crossamerica Partners has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Crossamerica Partners Backtesting, Crossamerica Partners Valuation, Crossamerica Partners Correlation, Crossamerica Partners Hype Analysis, Crossamerica Partners Volatility, Crossamerica Partners History as well as Crossamerica Partners Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Crossamerica Stock analysis
When running Crossamerica Partners' price analysis, check to measure Crossamerica Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crossamerica Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Crossamerica Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crossamerica Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crossamerica Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crossamerica Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Crossamerica Partners' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crossamerica Partners. If investors know Crossamerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crossamerica Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Crossamerica Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crossamerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crossamerica Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crossamerica Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crossamerica Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crossamerica Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crossamerica Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crossamerica Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crossamerica Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.