Capital Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.98
| CBNK Stock | USD 19.50 0.21 1.07% |
Capital |
Capital Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 21.98
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.98 or more in 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 21.98 | about 8.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Bancorp to move over $ 21.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.74 (This Capital Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 19.50 and $ 21.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capital Bancorp has a beta of 0.98 suggesting Capital Bancorp market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Capital Bancorp is expected to follow. Additionally Capital Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Capital Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capital Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Capital Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: CBNK Stock Earnings Capital Bancorp Beats EPS, Beats Revenue for Q1 2024 |
Capital Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -14.5 M |
Capital Bancorp Technical Analysis
Capital Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capital Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: CBNK Stock Earnings Capital Bancorp Beats EPS, Beats Revenue for Q1 2024 |
Check out Capital Bancorp Backtesting, Capital Bancorp Valuation, Capital Bancorp Correlation, Capital Bancorp Hype Analysis, Capital Bancorp Volatility, Capital Bancorp History as well as Capital Bancorp Performance. For more information on how to buy Capital Stock please use our How to buy in Capital Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis
When running Capital Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Capital Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Capital Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital Bancorp. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 2.55 | Revenue Per Share 11.205 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Capital Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.