Celsius Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 72.44

CELH Stock  USD 72.44  0.41  0.57%   
Celsius Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Celsius Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Celsius Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Celsius Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-26 CALL at $72.0 is a CALL option contract on Celsius Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 72.0 expiring on 2024-04-26. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-23 at 15:58:23 for $1.56 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.54, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 24th of April is 72.17. View All Celsius options

Closest to current price Celsius long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Celsius Holdings' future price is the expected price of Celsius Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Celsius Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Celsius Holdings Backtesting, Celsius Holdings Valuation, Celsius Holdings Correlation, Celsius Holdings Hype Analysis, Celsius Holdings Volatility, Celsius Holdings History as well as Celsius Holdings Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Celsius Stock please use our How to Invest in Celsius Holdings guide.
  
As of now, Celsius Holdings' Price Cash Flow Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. Please specify Celsius Holdings' target price for which you would like Celsius Holdings odds to be computed.

Celsius Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 72.44

The tendency of Celsius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 72.44 90 days 72.44 
about 50.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Celsius Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.44 (This Celsius Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Celsius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Celsius Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Celsius Holdings has an alpha of 0.433, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Celsius Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Celsius Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celsius Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Celsius Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.8872.0376.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.3772.5276.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.5973.7477.89
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
192.01211.00234.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Celsius Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Celsius Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Celsius Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Celsius Holdings.

Celsius Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Celsius Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Celsius Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Celsius Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Celsius Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.52
σ
Overall volatility
14.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Celsius Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Celsius Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Celsius Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Celsius Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Celsius Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Kimberly-Clark Tops Q1 Earnings Estimates, Ups FY24 View

Celsius Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Celsius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Celsius Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celsius Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237 M
Cash And Short Term Investments756 M

Celsius Holdings Technical Analysis

Celsius Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Celsius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Celsius Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Celsius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Celsius Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Celsius Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Celsius Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Celsius Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Celsius Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Celsius Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Celsius Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Celsius Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Celsius Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Kimberly-Clark Tops Q1 Earnings Estimates, Ups FY24 View
When determining whether Celsius Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Celsius Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Celsius Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Celsius Holdings Stock:
Check out Celsius Holdings Backtesting, Celsius Holdings Valuation, Celsius Holdings Correlation, Celsius Holdings Hype Analysis, Celsius Holdings Volatility, Celsius Holdings History as well as Celsius Holdings Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Celsius Stock please use our How to Invest in Celsius Holdings guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Celsius Stock analysis

When running Celsius Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Celsius Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celsius Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Celsius Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celsius Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celsius Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celsius Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Celsius Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Celsius Holdings. If investors know Celsius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Celsius Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.333
Earnings Share
0.77
Revenue Per Share
5.711
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.952
Return On Assets
0.1207
The market value of Celsius Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Celsius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Celsius Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Celsius Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Celsius Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Celsius Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Celsius Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Celsius Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Celsius Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.