Central Puerto Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.45
CEPU Stock | USD 9.90 0.37 3.60% |
Central |
Central Puerto Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 5.45 in 90 days |
9.90 | 90 days | 5.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Puerto to stay above $ 5.45 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Central Puerto SA probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Puerto SA price to stay between $ 5.45 and its current price of $9.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Central Puerto will likely underperform. Additionally Central Puerto SA has an alpha of 0.0663, implying that it can generate a 0.0663 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Central Puerto Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Puerto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Puerto SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Central Puerto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Central Puerto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Puerto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Puerto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Puerto SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Puerto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Central Puerto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Puerto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Puerto SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Central Puerto SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Proactive Strategies - Stock Traders Daily |
Central Puerto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Puerto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Puerto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.3 B |
Central Puerto Technical Analysis
Central Puerto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Puerto SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Puerto Predictive Forecast Models
Central Puerto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Puerto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Puerto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Puerto SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Puerto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Puerto SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Central Puerto SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Proactive Strategies - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out Central Puerto Backtesting, Central Puerto Valuation, Central Puerto Correlation, Central Puerto Hype Analysis, Central Puerto Volatility, Central Puerto History as well as Central Puerto Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Central Stock analysis
When running Central Puerto's price analysis, check to measure Central Puerto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Puerto is operating at the current time. Most of Central Puerto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Puerto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Puerto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Puerto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Central Puerto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Puerto. If investors know Central will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Central Puerto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.419 | Dividend Share 2.27 | Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share 2.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of Central Puerto SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Puerto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Puerto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Central Puerto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Puerto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Central Puerto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Central Puerto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Central Puerto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.