Fondo Mutuo (Chile) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 1396.90

CFMDIVO Etf  CLP 1,397  10.20  0.74%   
Fondo Mutuo's future price is the expected price of Fondo Mutuo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fondo Mutuo ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fondo Mutuo Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fondo Mutuo Correlation, Fondo Mutuo Hype Analysis, Fondo Mutuo Volatility, Fondo Mutuo History as well as Fondo Mutuo Performance.
  
Please specify Fondo Mutuo's target price for which you would like Fondo Mutuo odds to be computed.

Fondo Mutuo Target Price Odds to finish over 1396.90

The tendency of Fondo Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,397 90 days 1,397 
about 70.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fondo Mutuo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.67 (This Fondo Mutuo ETF probability density function shows the probability of Fondo Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fondo Mutuo has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Fondo Mutuo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fondo Mutuo ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fondo Mutuo ETF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fondo Mutuo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fondo Mutuo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fondo Mutuo ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fondo Mutuo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3861,3871,388
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3031,3041,525
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3871,3881,389
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2901,3861,482
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fondo Mutuo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fondo Mutuo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fondo Mutuo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fondo Mutuo ETF.

Fondo Mutuo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fondo Mutuo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fondo Mutuo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fondo Mutuo ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fondo Mutuo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
26.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Fondo Mutuo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fondo Mutuo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fondo Mutuo ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fondo Mutuo ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fondo Mutuo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fondo Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fondo Mutuo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fondo Mutuo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day28
Average Daily Volume In Three Month28

Fondo Mutuo Technical Analysis

Fondo Mutuo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fondo Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fondo Mutuo ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fondo Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fondo Mutuo Predictive Forecast Models

Fondo Mutuo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fondo Mutuo's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fondo Mutuo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fondo Mutuo ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fondo Mutuo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fondo Mutuo ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fondo Mutuo ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fondo Etf

Fondo Mutuo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fondo Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fondo with respect to the benefits of owning Fondo Mutuo security.