CullenFrost Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 129.40

CFR -  USA Stock  

USD 129.40  0.63  0.49%

CullenFrost Bankers' future price is the expected price of CullenFrost Bankers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CullenFrost Bankers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. CullenFrost Bankers Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. CullenFrost Bankers reported last year Price to Book Value of 1.28. As of 12/07/2021, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 5.00, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop 15.72.

CullenFrost Price Probability 

 
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CullenFrost Bankers' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on CullenFrost Bankers. Implied volatility approximates the future value of CullenFrost Bankers based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in CullenFrost Bankers over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $130.0 is a CALL option contract on CullenFrost Bankers' common stock with a strick price of 130.0 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-12-02 at 13:06:47 for $2.68 and, as of today, has 10 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.2, and an ask price of $2.9. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 35.2993. View All CullenFrost options

Closest to current price CullenFrost long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to CullenFrost Bankers Backtesting, CullenFrost Bankers Valuation, CullenFrost Bankers Correlation, CullenFrost Bankers Hype Analysis, CullenFrost Bankers Volatility, CullenFrost Bankers History as well as CullenFrost Bankers Performance. Please specify CullenFrost Bankers time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like CullenFrost Bankers odds to be computed.
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CullenFrost Bankers Target Price Odds to finish over 129.40

The tendency of CullenFrost Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 129.40 90 days 129.40  about 26.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CullenFrost Bankers to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.1 (This CullenFrost Bankers probability density function shows the probability of CullenFrost Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CullenFrost Bankers has a beta of -0.32 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding CullenFrost Bankers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, CullenFrost Bankers is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1569, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 CullenFrost Bankers Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for CullenFrost Bankers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CullenFrost Bankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CullenFrost Bankers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CullenFrost Bankers in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
127.95129.84131.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
114.82116.71142.18
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
100.00124.78157.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.336.506.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CullenFrost Bankers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CullenFrost Bankers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CullenFrost Bankers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CullenFrost Bankers.

CullenFrost Bankers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CullenFrost Bankers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CullenFrost Bankers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CullenFrost Bankers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CullenFrost Bankers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.16
β
Beta against DOW-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
8.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

CullenFrost Bankers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CullenFrost Bankers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CullenFrost Bankers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: 0.68 EPS Expected for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. This Quarter - MarketBeat

CullenFrost Bankers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CullenFrost Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CullenFrost Bankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CullenFrost Bankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.57%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.86
Short Percent Of Float3.72%
Float Shares58.29M
Shares Short Prior Month1.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day246.46k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month287.69k
Date Short Interest31st of August 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.31%

CullenFrost Bankers Technical Analysis

CullenFrost Bankers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CullenFrost Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CullenFrost Bankers. In general, you should focus on analyzing CullenFrost Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CullenFrost Bankers Predictive Forecast Models

CullenFrost Bankers time-series forecasting models is one of many CullenFrost Bankers' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary CullenFrost Bankers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CullenFrost Bankers

Checking the ongoing alerts about CullenFrost Bankers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CullenFrost Bankers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

CullenFrost Bankers Alerts

CullenFrost Bankers Alerts and Suggestions

Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: 0.68 EPS Expected for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. This Quarter - MarketBeat
Continue to CullenFrost Bankers Backtesting, CullenFrost Bankers Valuation, CullenFrost Bankers Correlation, CullenFrost Bankers Hype Analysis, CullenFrost Bankers Volatility, CullenFrost Bankers History as well as CullenFrost Bankers Performance. Note that the CullenFrost Bankers information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CullenFrost Bankers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for CullenFrost Stock analysis

When running CullenFrost Bankers price analysis, check to measure CullenFrost Bankers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CullenFrost Bankers is operating at the current time. Most of CullenFrost Bankers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CullenFrost Bankers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CullenFrost Bankers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CullenFrost Bankers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CullenFrost Bankers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CullenFrost Bankers. If investors know CullenFrost will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CullenFrost Bankers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of CullenFrost Bankers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CullenFrost that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CullenFrost Bankers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CullenFrost Bankers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CullenFrost Bankers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CullenFrost Bankers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CullenFrost Bankers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CullenFrost Bankers value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CullenFrost Bankers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.