China Foods Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.85
| CHFHY Stock | USD 7.22 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 7.85
The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.85 or more in 90 days |
| 7.22 | 90 days | 7.85 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Foods to move over $ 7.85 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This China Foods Ltd probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Foods price to stay between its current price of $ 7.22 and $ 7.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Foods has a beta of 0.005 suggesting as returns on the market go up, China Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Foods Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Foods Ltd has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.00457 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Foods Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
China Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Foods sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
China Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B |
China Foods Technical Analysis
China Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Foods Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Foods Predictive Forecast Models
China Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many China Foods' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Foods sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out China Foods Backtesting, China Foods Valuation, China Foods Correlation, China Foods Hype Analysis, China Foods Volatility, China Foods History as well as China Foods Performance. Note that the China Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Foods' price analysis, check to measure China Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Foods is operating at the current time. Most of China Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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