Chegg Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.6

CHGG Stock  USD 7.17  0.07  0.99%   
Chegg's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Chegg Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Chegg based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Chegg Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $7.0 is a CALL option contract on Chegg's common stock with a strick price of 7.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-29 at 15:59:55 for $0.85 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 30th of April is 123.91. View All Chegg options

Closest to current price Chegg long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Chegg's future price is the expected price of Chegg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chegg Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chegg Backtesting, Chegg Valuation, Chegg Correlation, Chegg Hype Analysis, Chegg Volatility, Chegg History as well as Chegg Performance.
  
At this time, Chegg's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chegg's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.24, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to increase to (0.75). Please specify Chegg's target price for which you would like Chegg odds to be computed.

Chegg Target Price Odds to finish over 8.6

The tendency of Chegg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 8.60  or more in 90 days
 7.17 90 days 8.60 
about 33.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chegg to move over $ 8.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.78 (This Chegg Inc probability density function shows the probability of Chegg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chegg Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 7.17  and $ 8.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Chegg will likely underperform. Additionally Chegg Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Chegg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chegg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chegg Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chegg's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.657.199.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.208.7411.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.416.949.48
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.7212.8814.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chegg. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chegg's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chegg's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chegg Inc.

Chegg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chegg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chegg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chegg Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chegg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.62
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Chegg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chegg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chegg Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chegg Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chegg Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from businesswire.com: CHEGG INVESTIGATION INITIATED by Former Louisiana Attorney General Kahn Swick Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Chegg, Inc. - CHGG

Chegg Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chegg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chegg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chegg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments330 M

Chegg Technical Analysis

Chegg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chegg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chegg Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chegg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chegg Predictive Forecast Models

Chegg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chegg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chegg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chegg Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chegg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chegg Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chegg Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chegg Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from businesswire.com: CHEGG INVESTIGATION INITIATED by Former Louisiana Attorney General Kahn Swick Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Chegg, Inc. - CHGG
When determining whether Chegg Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chegg's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chegg's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chegg Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Chegg Backtesting, Chegg Valuation, Chegg Correlation, Chegg Hype Analysis, Chegg Volatility, Chegg History as well as Chegg Performance.
Note that the Chegg Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Chegg's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Chegg Stock analysis

When running Chegg's price analysis, check to measure Chegg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chegg is operating at the current time. Most of Chegg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chegg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chegg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chegg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chegg's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chegg. If investors know Chegg will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chegg listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.996
Earnings Share
0.16
Revenue Per Share
6.148
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Chegg Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chegg that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chegg's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chegg's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chegg's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chegg's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chegg's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chegg is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chegg's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.