China Eastern (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.91
| CIAH Stock | EUR 0.25 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Eastern Target Price Odds to finish over 3.91
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 3.91 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 3.91 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Eastern to move over € 3.91 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This China Eastern Airlines probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Eastern Airlines price to stay between its current price of € 0.25 and € 3.91 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Eastern Airlines has a beta of -0.48 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Eastern are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Eastern Airlines is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Eastern Airlines has an alpha of 0.2686, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Eastern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Eastern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Eastern Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Eastern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Eastern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Eastern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Eastern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Eastern Airlines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Eastern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
China Eastern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Eastern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Eastern Airlines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Eastern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Eastern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| China Eastern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| China Eastern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 50.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 287.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. China Eastern Airlines has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Eastern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Eastern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Eastern Airlines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Eastern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 66.89 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.21 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (12.94 B). | |
| About 62.0% of China Eastern shares are held by company insiders |
China Eastern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Eastern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Eastern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.9 B |
China Eastern Technical Analysis
China Eastern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Eastern Airlines. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Eastern Predictive Forecast Models
China Eastern's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Eastern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Eastern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Eastern Airlines
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Eastern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Eastern Airlines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Eastern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Eastern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| China Eastern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| China Eastern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 50.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 287.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. China Eastern Airlines has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Eastern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Eastern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Eastern Airlines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Eastern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 66.89 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.21 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (12.94 B). | |
| About 62.0% of China Eastern shares are held by company insiders |
Check out China Eastern Backtesting, China Eastern Valuation, China Eastern Correlation, China Eastern Hype Analysis, China Eastern Volatility, China Eastern History as well as China Eastern Performance. Note that the China Eastern Airlines information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Eastern's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis
When running China Eastern's price analysis, check to measure China Eastern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Eastern is operating at the current time. Most of China Eastern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Eastern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Eastern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Eastern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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