City Office Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.78
| CIO Stock | USD 4.92 0.01 0.20% |
Closest to current price City long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
City |
City Office Target Price Odds to finish over 4.78
The tendency of City Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.78 in 90 days |
| 4.92 | 90 days | 4.78 | about 32.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of City Office to stay above $ 4.78 in 90 days from now is about 32.7 (This City Office probability density function shows the probability of City Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of City Office price to stay between $ 4.78 and its current price of $4.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon City Office has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, City Office average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding City Office will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally City Office has an alpha of 0.3418, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). City Office Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for City Office
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as City Office. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City Office's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
City Office Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. City Office is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the City Office's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold City Office, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of City Office within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
City Office Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of City Office for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for City Office can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| City Office had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 179.1 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 112.75 M. | |
| City Office has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 24th of April 2024 City Office paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
City Office Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of City Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential City Office's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Office's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.1 M |
City Office Technical Analysis
City Office's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. City Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of City Office. In general, you should focus on analyzing City Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
City Office Predictive Forecast Models
City Office's time-series forecasting models is one of many City Office's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary City Office's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about City Office
Checking the ongoing alerts about City Office for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for City Office help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| City Office had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 179.1 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 112.75 M. | |
| City Office has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 24th of April 2024 City Office paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in City Stock
When determining whether City Office offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of City Office's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of City Office Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on City Office Stock:Check out City Office Backtesting, City Office Valuation, City Office Correlation, City Office Hype Analysis, City Office Volatility, City Office History as well as City Office Performance. To learn how to invest in City Stock, please use our How to Invest in City Office guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of City Office. If investors know City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about City Office listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.28) | Revenue Per Share 4.443 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of City Office is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of City Office's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is City Office's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because City Office's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect City Office's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between City Office's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if City Office is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, City Office's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.