Touchstone Sands Capital Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.04

CISGX Fund  USD 16.66  0.07  0.42%   
Touchstone Sands' future price is the expected price of Touchstone Sands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Touchstone Sands Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Touchstone Sands Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Sands Correlation, Touchstone Sands Hype Analysis, Touchstone Sands Volatility, Touchstone Sands History as well as Touchstone Sands Performance.
  
Please specify Touchstone Sands' target price for which you would like Touchstone Sands odds to be computed.

Touchstone Sands Target Price Odds to finish over 13.04

The tendency of Touchstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.04  in 90 days
 16.66 90 days 13.04 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchstone Sands to stay above $ 13.04  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Touchstone Sands Capital probability density function shows the probability of Touchstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Touchstone Sands Capital price to stay between $ 13.04  and its current price of $16.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Touchstone Sands has a beta of 0.0252 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Touchstone Sands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Touchstone Sands Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Touchstone Sands Capital has an alpha of 0.2485, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Touchstone Sands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Sands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Sands Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Sands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3116.6618.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6116.9618.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3616.7218.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6216.7216.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Touchstone Sands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Touchstone Sands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Touchstone Sands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Touchstone Sands Capital.

Touchstone Sands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchstone Sands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchstone Sands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchstone Sands Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchstone Sands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Touchstone Sands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchstone Sands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchstone Sands Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.29% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Touchstone Sands Technical Analysis

Touchstone Sands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchstone Sands Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Touchstone Sands Predictive Forecast Models

Touchstone Sands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchstone Sands' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Touchstone Sands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Touchstone Sands Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchstone Sands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchstone Sands Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.29% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Touchstone Sands Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Sands Correlation, Touchstone Sands Hype Analysis, Touchstone Sands Volatility, Touchstone Sands History as well as Touchstone Sands Performance.
Note that the Touchstone Sands Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Touchstone Sands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for Touchstone Mutual Fund analysis

When running Touchstone Sands' price analysis, check to measure Touchstone Sands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Touchstone Sands is operating at the current time. Most of Touchstone Sands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Touchstone Sands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Touchstone Sands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Touchstone Sands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Touchstone Sands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Touchstone Sands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Touchstone Sands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.